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You think there won’t be any taxes in 2028-2029 because of AI?

Just an example off the top of my head

I hope somebody just publishes The Ilya Memos. Sounds like a fun read

> It's widely understood that the big players are making profit on inference.

I love the whole “they are making money if you ignore training costs” bit. It is always great to see somebody say something like “if you look at the amount of money that they’re spending it looks bad, but if you look away it looks pretty good” like it’s the money version of a solar eclipse


The reason it matters is that if they are making a profit on inference, then when people use their services more, it cuts their losses. They might even break even eventually and start making a profit without raising the price.

But if they're losing money on inference, they will lose more money when people use their services more. There's no way to turn that around at that price.


We don't even have any evidence inference excluding training is actually profitable.

It is called sunk cost. The marginal cost is what sets the lower limit. They will always be able to sell at the marginal cost of inference.

I like that this sets the precedent that if you want people on HN to believe that they’ve dropped any arbitrary company you just have to point to a convincing-looking url on the ycombinator domain and the 404 signals that you are both correct and following the rules.

On the one hand the company that was selling companies pre-made “You’re hipaa compliant” pdfs was doing fraud, but on the other hand the companies that were buying “We’re hipaa compliant” pdfs that said they had implemented compliance measures that they definitely hadn’t were also doing fr

That’s not how words work. This sentence

> I ignore the law every day when I jaywalk.

Means the exact same thing as “I intentionally break jaywalking laws every day”. They are equivalent sentences.


I agreed with you; that is why I said I wasn’t being careful with my language.

What does that mean

> Ignoring a law is different from knowingly and intentionally breaking the law

This is like a line from a Naked Gun movie. The only way that this sentence could be true linguistically is if the party doesn’t break the law that they’re ignoring (e.g. I could ignore the rule against perpetuities while drunk driving through a zoo)


This is actually kind of hilarious. “We don’t store your data when you use our service. You hand it over in real time when you use it.”

They call your subconscious sub- because it is below your conscious. Hth

I am sure that what you mentioned was said, but it is surprisingly difficult to have a conversation in a room full of these

https://youtube.com/watch?v=_eWdX4qBUyQ3D


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