> And, in line with Ray Kurzweil’s predictions from the end of the XXth century (opens in a new window), we now find ourselves at the moment in history of computing where machine intelligence is starting to exceed that of humans in transformative ways.
It is kind of strange to see this sentence, when OAI's definition of what AGI is has been watered down throughout the years.
> I expect and hope for voluntary slowdowns to become commonplace until shared safety bars are established.
Read: Please play by our rules, so we can be the first.
Yes it's super misleading. All the marketing and title is calling it "electric" where in reality it's a hybrid electric-gas airplane with a 125 mile electric range. Aviation uses nautical miles yet they advertise 125 statute miles so the number seems bigger (125 statute miles = 108.62 nautical miles).
It would be like Toyota marketing the Prius as an electric vehicle, then buried in their presentation sneaking in the gas propulsion. Same with Chrysler Pacifica (32 mile electric range).
> Core parts of the product, like navigating to individual files in a code review, are broken
I think this is a good argument to underline "It's not _just_ the scale".
Adding to this, the Github Code Review experience is kind-of broken, the way comments/threads are stacked in the PR overview has not improved, pagination isn't really a thing, and these issues are age old.
Hopefully, one day, Github will mature.
> Modern cloud systems shouldn't even have shell access, immutable containers with telemetry data.
Genuine question, what is your alternative suggestion to accessing lower level features then?
A hard time I have with GUIs is that their input/output can't be piped. It's much more cumbersome to try to automate a GUI than to automate something in the terminal.
Whilst I get that this is about TUIs, I do believe there is a reason for shell access due to automation. Good abstractions can be put into the GUI, but I'd argue that you should first build the abstraction, then put a GUI on top of it. AWS is a prime example, any of their APIs can be used w/out AWS Console.
devdraw can be thought of as a 2D rendering engine. You load assets like text, bitmaps and so on then issue draw commands to render them. There is no SSH. Instead you connect to a remote machine and export resources served by your local machine including your keyboard, mouse and display, each of which is a network transparent microservice. The window manager, Rio (and others), multiplexes access to these microservices. You can run a graphical program without a window manager, e.g. you can boot right into Doom or the Acme editor. It's seamless and can run over any pipe that can push 9P including ssh. If you look at the Sam and Acme text editors you will find they are true modern TUI programs.
Shame we had a cloud ready OS for 35+ years and no one noticed. Instead were living in the 60's with GPU accelerated typewriter emulators.
However I would rather prefer its successor, with Limbo for userspace, although probably not Tk as the main UI toolkit.
The terminal thing emulating typewriter are a UNIX thing, as other graphical OSes, presented a plain REPL, or graphical shell, e.g. Amiga DOS did not emulate any tty.
> > I'm using my skills to orchestrate LLMs and agents, and I can write better code much faster.
>
> The fact that the top comment on this thread calls it out, in a negative way, hints at that you aren't.
It's interesting that what I meant as a purely factual question with no prejudice either way has been taken by almost everyone to be explicitly negative & critical.
I need to be a tad less blunt I guess if I don't want to
All I see is a flattening of the technical curve. Which is great, but the number of people who want to download an app is still the same. So all you have is 100,000 apps with no users instead of 10,000 apps with no users
You increased the amount of code written by 10x but unless there’s a 10x increase in demand, its worth nothing
Actually, I think that the analogy with the steam engine is a very good one.
Prior to the steam engine, almost all energy used by the human civilization has been generated by human and/or animal muscles. Yes, there have been other (water/wind mills, sailing boats), but the application of those has been rather limited to very specific tasks and/or locations.
Prior to current AI, almost all 'mental' work has been done by human minds. There have been some intrusion by calculators/computer systems, but their applicability has been rather limited. AI promises to do to mental labour what steam engine (and later power tools) did for manual labour. (Including the atrophy of muscle/mind ...)
Regarding 'It's just a tool': How much emphasis do you put on 'just'? Starting to use a new tool (especially if it is a powerful one) has many downstream consequences, and 'how' the tool is used (not only by an individual, but as a society as a whole) matters a lot.
1) people like me exist: I don't live in the USA, yet it is possible for me to buy things which are made in the USA
2) fiat money is only created or deleted by laws the government controls (plus a tiny quantity from forgery and damage to coins and notes), so everyone losing their jobs doesn't make the money disappear, just who has it available to spend
3) previous waves of automation have created new business opportunities; while this has not been too good for the people who lost jobs to the automation, it has generally boosted the overall economies this happened in, so it is absolutely possible to wipe out tech employees without it seriously harming consumers collectively
If you look at recent trends in consumer spending, a lot more of it is from the upper classes and less from the middle. Selling services to the rich can displace the loss of white collar workers. (in theory). as a bonus, ideally you create some more really wealthy people to spend on things during this shift.
I'm yet to see what part of AI really wealthy people would like to spend their money on. It's not like we can get AI Yachts and AI Rockets. What would the premium product for the upper class be?
It is kind of strange to see this sentence, when OAI's definition of what AGI is has been watered down throughout the years.
> I expect and hope for voluntary slowdowns to become commonplace until shared safety bars are established.
Read: Please play by our rules, so we can be the first.
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