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Then again, The Gambia is special.

They have held multiparty free and open elections from independance until 1994 (Jammeh's coup). This a continent where most countries had experienced Coups, Single-Party rule or both by 1970. (The only country with continuous multiparty democracy is Botswana)

Jammeh himself quickly felt the need to organise elections to legitimize his rule. Sure there was intimidation and other manoeuvers but oddly he almost always won with results in the high 50's. Those are crazy tight results by African standards (even in democracies incumbents rarely go lower than 60).


That's why everybody uses the word "shock"

He has not publicly conceded yet (so we may still get a surprise) but :

- his electoral commission has announced the results

- the head of his electoral commission has announced Jammeh will conceide

- rumour says his concession video has been recorded

- the internet that has been cut-off on election's eve is functionning again

- soldiers who were deployed have left the streets

It really sound this is happening


> - soldiers who were deployed have left the streets

Is it known whether or not the soldiers in this case are loyal to Jammeh? Just thinking about what happened in Burkina with Compaoré.


$2mm is something like one hour of revenue for Apple

I don't think they make design decisions on that basis


sorry to be picky, but shouldn't that be $2m? not two millimeters of dollar


Often, in financial contexts[0], million is written mm rather than m.

[0]: http://www.accountingcoach.com/blog/what-does-m-and-mm-stand...


millidollar would be better


Western oil companies produce all the oil worldwide.

The fracking guys are minor players.


Quite often the IMF is an easy scapegoat. You'd be surprised by how often the IMF advice is ignored or by how sound it can be at times.

For instance, in Ukraine a few years ago, the IMF's advice was to cut down on some structural expenses (gas subsidies mostly) and not to touch investment expenses as doing that would trigger a recession.

For political reasons IMF did the opposite.


What it usually is is political cover for local elites to betray their populations; remove barriers to capital flow and trade, gut environmental and labor protections.


what if the supply of medical workers in Cuba allows it to send so many abroad with little effect on the local conditions ?


Seems it's not "little effect": Cuba has begun to sacrifice the health of its citizens at home


"Critics have complained"

No data, no study on the effect.


Costa Rica has done as well or even better


Costa Rica may be the exception that proves the rule, or at least is notable for what it didn't do -- it didn't let itself become a colony/client state/banana republic, there was a state-led internal industrialization effort integrated with measured open-ness for international trade/investment, it didn't keep a standing military after its revolution.

And Cuba likely still would have done better without the US embargo.


If Communist Cuba didn't exist, may be most of those dictatorships wouldnt have happened.

And Costa Rica may be an exception because their lefties (or liberals) were smart enough to keep their eyes on the price.


You have causation wrong. Cuba is now communist because it was one of those dictatorships. http://en.m.wikipedia.org/wiki/Fulgencio_Batista

The countless dictatorships, puppet governments, and US/European interventions didn't start when Castro and Che came down out of the mountains in 1956.


Small margins and low growth though.

And many would argue that it'd be hard to do better.


You'd'be surprised by how well his nationalistic projection works nowadays


Top Gear tries to kill a Hilux :

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=xnWKz7Cthkk


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