What is your motivation? What you are doing is very impressive for sure, but the longer term life of this project seems incertain to me. While you might be able to accomplish your goal of production readyness, you'll only have version 1.0 at that point.
Its unlikely an AI written project is one which people will want to maintain even if it "works", which means AI has to maintain it. Maintaining a code base of a production database is going to continue costing 100s of thousands, if its even possible at all with AI. Its also unlikely to find users even if its almost perfect, because a bug in a database is not something users can accept.
Postgres is postgres because its like 30 years old and battle tested. Sure its missing some modern features, but its incredibly stable, which is part of its popularity.
> Postgres is postgres because its like 30 years old and battle tested. Sure its missing some modern features, but its incredibly stable, which is part of its popularity.
its also a weakness, coding tech is outdated, code is overloaded and org is slow and bureaucratic. Some newer player can move faster and build better product.
When it tips the other way, we will be entering the economic dark ages, exactly proportional to how long we’ve been kicking this can down the road, which is likely since 2007 at least.
What "world order" is this? One where cheap energy generation is seen as a good thing? Bizarre that anyone would be against a private company building solar or wind farms in this day and age.
For a guy in the ai and cybersecurity industry you seem to have incredibly poor judgement Gyan.
i actually like solar SK .. I’m with Elon on that, which I suspect may already bother you. :) .. but wind is different .. it’s flakey .. harms birds .. creates noise pollution in rural areas .. and industrialises landscapes that shouldn’t be industrialised.
As for my “poor judgment,” kind sir .. this is not true .. see, what i like about startups (which is also how i found HN) .. is that there is no place to hide .. your judgement will either kill you or make you fabilously rich (this is even more true when all your startups are boot strapped, with no sales team .. and you end up exiting 3 times ..another way to look at it SK is that in my world, if mess up my judgement, i dont get to eat .. curious what you do for a living ?
Provide one example where solar and / or wind generation have penetrated a market to a level worth mentioning and electricity prices have come down or remained stable adjusted for inflation.
South Australia is a good example. In 2023–24, wind supplied 45.2% of South Australia’s electricity generation, rooftop solar supplied 18.3%, and large-scale solar another 10.7%. In other words, roughly 74% of the state’s electricity generation came from wind and solar. [1]
And this isn’t a comparison that ignores inflation. AEMO publishes its historical wholesale electricity prices in real June 2024 dollars. South Australia’s average wholesale price in 2023–24 was A$79.53/MWh, compared with roughly A$95/MWh in 2012–13. It was also 40% lower than the previous year’s A$131.90/MWh. [1]
AEMO also specifically identifies increased rooftop and grid-scale solar output as one of the factors contributing to lower wholesale prices. [1]
So there’s a fairly straightforward example: South Australia reached roughly 74% wind and solar generation while its inflation-adjusted wholesale electricity price was lower than it had been around a decade earlier.
That obviously doesn’t mean renewables were the only factor affecting prices - electricity markets are influenced by fuel prices, interconnectors, demand, storage and plenty of other things. But it does disprove the claim that high penetration of wind and solar necessarily results in higher inflation-adjusted electricity prices.
California has the lowest wholesale electricity rate in the country. It's retail electricity rate is the second-highest but that's a problem independent of electricity source.
We could collectively provide a long list of examples across several US states, Europe, and Australia. Is that going to change the minds of people who don't believe it? It will not, the discussion is irrelevant and wasted energy (mental models are rigid, people are irrational and emotion driven broadly speaking), all that matters is the economics.
> Renewables Remain Lowest Cost New-Build Generation; All Generation Faces Increasing Cost Pressure: Despite rising and inflationary cost pressures across all generation technologies, renewables remain the most cost-competitive form of new-build generation on an unsubsidized basis and will account for the majority of near-term capacity additions in the U.S. Continuous upward revisions to demand projections have driven a sharp increase in announced new-build gas generation despite a 15-year high LCOE, which is expected to continue to rise, and historically long development and equipment delivery timelines.
> The world has reached the 3-terawatt threshold of solar power, with the first terawatt taking 10 years to deploy and the next two terawatts taking less than five years.
> Forecasters expect the world to deploy more than 9 terawatts of solar by 2036, with poor countries' share of solar deployment expected to start growing again from this year onward.
> The main constraint for developing countries to adopt solar power is the lack of accessible financing, and the growth of solar power is also limited by the need for energy storage, such as lithium-ion batteries, to absorb excess power.
The global clean tech supply chain will still be around when the US comes around.
The drugs I take inhibit most, if not all, of any emotions I might have, leaving me aggressively data driven by evidence, observations, data, and facts. I am a complex expert system with a pulse.
This specific policy is because one thin-skinned narcissist lost a legal case in Scotland over wind turbine aesthetics. His personality disorder makes him hold grudges forever and lash out and punish unrelated parties. I bet the two of you would get along well!
This is exactly correct ^ and I’m not even aligned with Democrats. There’s no end to the ego and butt-hurt of that man, and conversely, he’s the easiest to exploit via flattery of anyone I’ve ever heard of.
My guy, your account is nearly 10 years old, but your karma is only 36, and you are active on here... there is a reason. You are derisive, and abrasive, and your comments (specifically the ones that get downvoted to hell) are low-effort, and "troll-y".
You seem like you've been successful in life, you didn't get that way being low-effort, so let's apply that level of effort toward this community that has brought so many people together for their love of technology.
you make some fair points .. and I respect you for making them openly (and taking the time to do so!) .. also that ur a real person standing behind your words .. and that carries more weight with me than karma ever will :)
I can be abrasive .. but Id rather own my words including the unpopular ones .. than hide behind a pseudonym or tailor them for approval ..
either way .. you seem like a good human. respect!
Of course yes, and it's even easier in some cases. Since there's a language that defines the functionality (e.g: formal methods) that the agent can use/veriy against
No, the "essence" of engineering is having a cohesive vision for a larger plan.
No quality large scale project can exist without it. And any seasoned engineer should understand by now that no SOTA LLM can produce quality engineering at scale.
Nah. You can succeed in every single individual thing but fail at the overall project because the parts don't align into anything that makes sense.
If you need examples, look at game dev. There's plenty of games that have good execution but aren't fun to play or they're a confusing mess because there wasn't good overall direction.
Videogames are a weird comparison because they are basically the ultimate culmination of the combination of both engineering and art. The two can crossover in weird ways but still have distinct aspects that do not really compromise the other.
Just because a videogame isn’t fun doesn’t mean there wasnt a cohesive engineering vision. God of War: Ragnarok is a good example of this. Excellent technical execution and (arguably) great direction but a terribly boring game.
And many games that are terribly engineered are also incredibly fun. Dark Souls is a good example - runs like ass, looks very rough even by the standards of the time when the game released, with terrible enemy AI in a combat focused game - one might even call it a confusing mess (and I laugh at the notion that it doesn’t have good direction)… despite all this it’s a classic and arguably the most influential game since its release.
Elden Ring carries a lot of legacy baggage from years of iteration on the same engine as ~~Dark~~ Demons Souls - and it’s widely considered From Software’s magnum opus and a masterpiece. Yet considering the scope of the game it is a great example of how small wins added up can solve large problems when executed with the skill and judgment gained from experience. So one might still consider it a success in terms of “engineering”.
Would From Software have been able to make the same game using Unreal Engine 5 built from scratch with dime a dozen “Unreal experts” brought in off the street? Not a chance. Want to know why western game development studios are suffering right now? Compare American layoff culture and race to the bottom economics to the retention rates of Japanese game studios like Capcom, Nintendo and other heavy hitters.
For many of the most marvellous things humans have ever built, if you take a peak behind the curtain you’ll still probably find some amount of duct tape and popsicles sticks somewhere keeping it all together.
Fun, however, is a matter of taste and you can’t engineer that.
Long term projects that survived on short term wins are still around. But you're going to want to check how big the graveyard is of "project collapsed under tech debt from short term decisions" to see whether it's a good strategy.
You have tactics and strategy mixed up. Killing Iran leadership was a tactical success. Continually shooting long range missiles into a giant country is a strategic failure.
Not really a conspiracy theory, it’s just an indicator of the underlying issues either the global economy. Yeah it’s been red for decades, it just shows there are segment of the world economy that are under high stress.
Difference is US now has its own issues which just makes the overall situation even more fragile.
No one knows for how long or what happens next, but you can’t look at things and think, eh it’s just the way it is. Things are a certain way until they’re not
Its unlikely an AI written project is one which people will want to maintain even if it "works", which means AI has to maintain it. Maintaining a code base of a production database is going to continue costing 100s of thousands, if its even possible at all with AI. Its also unlikely to find users even if its almost perfect, because a bug in a database is not something users can accept.
Postgres is postgres because its like 30 years old and battle tested. Sure its missing some modern features, but its incredibly stable, which is part of its popularity.