The only successful desktop UNIX derivative is MacOS. That ship has sailed.
However the most relevant computing devices for consumers are phones and tablets nowadays, not desktops. UNIX derivatives run almost all of them. Big success, I'd say.
UNIX derivatives are running most servers too and are making inroads into the Windows desktop. The outlook is good unless a new popular market suddenly open with no meaningful *nix presence in it.
Chromebooks are very successful, outselling MacOS desktops in 2016. They run a pretty standard Linux environment.
I don't think anyone thought Linux to take over the office desktop by mass porting office applications but by moving them to the web. That shift is still happening.
>Chromebooks are very successful, outselling MacOS desktops in 2016.
That's still products from multiple vendors (Dell, HP, and Lenovo, Asus?, etc) narrowingly beating sales from a single vendor.
And that (a) in a year when the single vendor had stalled updating their product line, and (b) with the Chromebooks being much cheaper, and more mass market, offerings.
So this speaks more to the slow sales of Chromebooks during the previous years than some major breakthrough.
You're right, according to the the US stats I saw. I probably forgot about them because I never saw one (Italy here) or if I saw them I mistaken them for a Windows laptop. However I think I never heard the word Chromebook in a conversation, either work or friends. We could use a Chromebook everywhere we're connecting to the Internet with our laptops but apparently we're not.
It would be a bigger win if the success of Linux on mobile wasn't built on a heaping pile of GPL violations. It's all well and good that my phone runs Linux, but if I don't have Stallman's Four Freedoms on it and the device drivers aren't contributed back, what exactly is the point?
As for desktops, the market share still slowly creeps up. Desktop Linux has definitely graduated from "uber-nerd" to "power user" territory. Plenty of people I know who aren't particularly into Free Software, UNIX etc dual-boot Ubuntu.
However the most relevant computing devices for consumers are phones and tablets nowadays, not desktops. UNIX derivatives run almost all of them. Big success, I'd say.
UNIX derivatives are running most servers too and are making inroads into the Windows desktop. The outlook is good unless a new popular market suddenly open with no meaningful *nix presence in it.