Once general-purpose GPUs get 100x faster (by 2025?), they'll get classified as weapons and one would need a strictly regulated license to do Deep Learning on them, with computations logged/snapshotted onto some governmental server.
Can you name another common computer technology that has gotten so advanced it became classified as a weapon?
The notion that in six years general purpose GPUs will be strictly regulated as weapons, is pretty comical. It'll never happen.
In three or four years the improvemnet scaling will already be enough that whatever scenario you think must wait six years to justify strictly regulating GPU ownership, will already be possible. Absolutely nothing interesting is going to happen in the next six years that will require practically outlawing ownership of GPUs.
It's a non-issue for the next 10-15 years at a minimum. More likely it will never be an issue, because of the expertise that will be required. You can do nuclear technology research on your home computer, entirely legally. They do a pretty good job of keeping track of people capable of building nuclear tech. If AI becomes a similar risk, they'll do the same thing with the best minds in AI (ie track them). Very few AI developers will be able to build particularly dangerous AI applications, the counter thinking to that is fantasy based, a form of technology fear (which for 50+ years has failed to prove out time and time again; the technology fear ideology has failed so often and so spectacularly that it should be entirely discredited at this point).
Jensen Huang mentioned that he projects 1,000x GPU speed increase by 2025, so I am being conservative. If you also talk to NVidia people, the "rumors" are that Turing/Ampere will be pure gaming + inference cards and compute cards will no longer be sold individually. Moreover, recent pricing hike makes me think NVidia and game publishers are preparing a ground for streaming services, first an optional choice, then due to steeply growing individual GPU prices and lower TCO of subscriptions the only economical choice for a regular gamer. 1,000x speedup would definitely allow some advances things like Deep Fakes in near realtime; that could be extremely damaging to governments (we all could think of what fake but realistic coordinated nuke videos would cause, or a made up "leak" of world leaders with realistic audiovisual content), so a logical conclusion on my part is a strict regulation of such technology, that could indeed be classified as a psychological weapon of mass effectiveness.
If it went live, how long before a copy lands in the hands of pranksters?