The initial death rates were shocking. The reproduction R0 number seemed high. This was a very contagious virus. The world went into a panic. And rumors, conspiracy theories, and bad science didn’t help (the German and Indian papers).
But what was really behind the numbers. Was it old people that were dying? Was it middle aged and young people? Was this some kind of stealthy virus that creeps up on you, and then just kills you?
It’s possible that it was a lack of medical facilities and equipment, that contributed to the crisis, and thus, contributed to the high initial death rates.
For example, when people started getting sick. The first batch went to the ICU, and took up available beds and medical facilities. These people had the highest chance of surviving. But then, the next wave came in and created the beginning of the crisis, and swamped the system. Then, the third wave came in and totally overwhelmed the system, that the hospitals couldn’t help them at all. They were turned away, and left to fend for themselves. These people started dying in their homes.
The system suffered such a massive denial of service attack, that it was impossible to help and provide service to everyone. Thus this created the shockingly high mortality rate during the initial days of the crisis.
If we are lucky, then this might remain true. So in other parts of the world with more medical facilities, knowing this might save people, and give them a higher chance of surviving this virus.
But what was really behind the numbers. Was it old people that were dying? Was it middle aged and young people? Was this some kind of stealthy virus that creeps up on you, and then just kills you?
It’s possible that it was a lack of medical facilities and equipment, that contributed to the crisis, and thus, contributed to the high initial death rates.
For example, when people started getting sick. The first batch went to the ICU, and took up available beds and medical facilities. These people had the highest chance of surviving. But then, the next wave came in and created the beginning of the crisis, and swamped the system. Then, the third wave came in and totally overwhelmed the system, that the hospitals couldn’t help them at all. They were turned away, and left to fend for themselves. These people started dying in their homes.
The system suffered such a massive denial of service attack, that it was impossible to help and provide service to everyone. Thus this created the shockingly high mortality rate during the initial days of the crisis.
If we are lucky, then this might remain true. So in other parts of the world with more medical facilities, knowing this might save people, and give them a higher chance of surviving this virus.
Stay strong, Wuhan!
Wuhan, Jaiyou!