Non-ergodic means the virus isn’t randomly bouncing around with the same parameters on the way down. It has very different dynamics on the way down than on the way up, due to contact tracing and more, as seen in China and S Korea etc.
The UK was using a model that said after suppression it would just immediately rise, as if other measures wouldn’t be taken to hold it down.
The UK was using a model that said after suppression it would just immediately rise, as if other measures wouldn’t be taken to hold it down.