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Would Hawking have got it with them?


Yes. Penrose’s prize is largely for the Penrose-Hawking Theorems[1].

[1] https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Penrose–Hawking_singularity_th...


What I don't understand is this: The Singularity Theorems already assume the existence of a trapped surface (and by implication, of a marginally outer trapped surface, i.e. an apparent horizon, i.e. a black hole) and then conclude that there must be a singularity inside.

Experimentally, though, we know absolutely nothing about this and the recent black hole-related discoveries (gravitational waves, Event Horizon Telescope) can certainly not be seen as a proof of the existence of singularities, either.

Now the Nobel Prize committee says that the discovery is actually

> “for the discovery that black hole formation is a robust prediction of the general theory of relativity.”

But this has virtually nothing to do with the most famous piece of work by Penrose, i.e. the Singularity Theorems.


I believe your point is valid. If the universe ends in big crunch there may also be insufficient proper time to form a singularity. People often confuse event horizons for singularities, partly because of Penrose's work. :) I think Penrose has made many contributions worthy of recognition, though I am not sure Nobel committee press releases are the best place to look for them.


Not sure, he's most famous for work on black hole thermodynamics, not really about formation.


At most three people can win, so they would have had to bump one of the three who did win.




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