I like his argument. Its pretty reasonable in its principles.
But it doesn't work in this situation. Hertz raised 10^7 dollars this way when they were 10^9 in the hole. Looks to me like the executives saw an opportunity to part some people from their money and took it.
An outside investor is sharing shares they already have, or short-selling shares with the promise to buy them back later. That's wildly different from issuing new shares when you have inside information which prices them at zero.
It's not uncommon for actual lotteries to have no jackpot winners in a given timeperiod. That's why the pot size keeps growing. At some point the hype from how many big the potential but unlikely payout got increases the share of people buying the ticket. The different between the Hertz stock and a lottery ticket is that eventually the Lottery will payout. But with a stock like Hertz there is no such guarantee.
But it doesn't work in this situation. Hertz raised 10^7 dollars this way when they were 10^9 in the hole. Looks to me like the executives saw an opportunity to part some people from their money and took it.
An outside investor is sharing shares they already have, or short-selling shares with the promise to buy them back later. That's wildly different from issuing new shares when you have inside information which prices them at zero.