I did follow the trial, and actually probably commented on that exact compromise hint at the time (although I'd need to look over my comment history to know for sure).
I didn't read a "compromise" as indicating that an injunction was particularly likely, and most of the commentary I read on HN at that time didn't read it that way either.
I think people are looking back with the benefit of hindsight at something that was not by any means a generally assumed outcome, even from people who were covering and talking about the trial on HN itself or on other social media sites I followed.
A hint that the judge is curious about finding middle grounds in a lawsuit is definitely not a promise of a permanent injunction.
https://www.bloomberg.com/news/articles/2021-05-12/epic-appl....
It's not a surprising outcome whatsoever if you followed the trial.
Apple's recent concession on this was reading the room and realising this is the likely outcome.