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Yes it may well work. Yes, Musk is, one way or another, associated with these projects. That's not the point.

The point is, these things may still fail. No shame in that. The fact that Musk rolled a 6 on a die ten times in a row doesn't mean he always does that.

But the narrative around it completely denies it. Any outcome is an unmitigated great success and yet another proof that Starship will succeed and we will colonise Mars.

Good luck to Starship succeeding, but the crazy optimism, denialist of even a chance of failure is unbearable.



I don't think there's any concrete reason to be overly negative here. Also, I did point out that there are no guarantees. But he seems to have solved a few hard problems already. Including with Starship. Musk is not just "associated with", but a main driver of technical decision making in all of his projects. Give the man some credit. The narrative that he just happens to get lucky a lot doesn't stand a lot of scrutiny.




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