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> The idea that LLMs are going to advance software in any substantial way seems implausible to me

I disagree. They won't do that for existing developers. But they will make it so that tech-savy people will be able to do much more. And they might even make it so that one-off customization per person will become feasable.

Imagine you want to sort hackernews comments by number of character inline in your browser. Tell the AI to add this feature and maybe it will work (just for you). That's some ways I can see substantial changes happen in the future.



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