It is weird because this is a board for working programmers for the most part. So like, who’s seen a gram conspiracy actually be accomplished? Probably now many. A lackluster product that gets released even though it sucks because too many people are highly motivated not to notice that it sucks? Everybody has experienced that, right?
Exactly. Although I wouldn't even say they have blinders, it seems like OpenAI understands quite well what 4.5 can do and what it can't hence the modesty in their messaging.
To your point, though, I would add not only who has seen any grand conspiracy actually be accomplished, who has seen one even attempted and kept under wraps? Such that the absence of corroborating sources was more consistent with an effectively executed conspiracy theory than the simple absence of such a plan.