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Cruising speed can also be modulated, easily within some ranges. You might speed up a little if you think you can land cargo before new tariffs, and you may slow if you think tariffs may be reduced if you land later. Staff costs for the vessel are relatively small, so as long as you don't go outside the range of speeds that are fuel efficient, there's flexibility.

Some of the tariff increases are so high that they effectively spoil the cargo; there's no point in bringing it through customs at those prices, and it typically won't make sense to ship it back, and it may not be possible to ship it elsewhere from the port either, so it is most likely to be destroyed at the port. Delaying to see if tariffs go down may be worthwhile for enough of the cargo that it makes sense to slow the whole boat.

Additionally, if demand for shipping is up, going faster allows for more supply, and if demand has slowed, going slower reduces supply.



The tariffs are based on departure not arrival date.


Do you have a source for this? Because from my own experience, and from everything I can find online, this is not true.

Tariffs are based on date of entry: https://www.vedderprice.com/remember-basic-import-rules-when... (see 'Rule 2')


That's easy enough to fake. How is US customs going to know when a German company's ship registered in the Philippines left a Chinese port?


I've very briefly worked with a team that was responsible for satellites that track ships and their AIS data, including trying to identify ships spoofing AIS though various means. (It was civilian, a university group, but I'm sure states have similar and more)


There is a pretty huge amount of ship and satellite tracking these days


Presumably by asking the Chinese authorities directly? We have near instantaneous global communication these days - that's how I'm conversing with you right now.


There's also AIS

https://www.marinetraffic.com/en/ais/home/

Of course enabled by the very tech you mention.


You’d just lie about which ship it was on.


While it's still in the shipping container with a GPS tracker on it?




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