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> There's zero evidence that LLMs have produced a measurable productivity boom

I’m not so sure on this one. AlphaFold2, while not quite an LLM, was based on Transformer architecture - and its implementation wasn’t a million miles away from a language model - and it massively improved the rate of protein structure prediction.

I think in general you’re correct, that we’re in a bubble, but I think it’s too extreme to say the technology is valueless.



From what I've read, AlphaFold2 is a minor improvement over other solvers, and only in some cases. It makes many more mistakes and misleading results than classic solvers.

But don't take my word for it, it's way outside of my area of research.




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