It's been like this for more than 10 years, there's a good chance it won't change in 10 years.

Yea, that's the Lindy Effect.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Lindy_effect

That’s what you always say.

10 years from now HN will still be the same ARC monstrosity that nobody wants to touch, except it'll probably seem even more terrifying.