I've tried the latest and greatest agentic CLI and toolings with the public SOTA models.
I think this is a productivity jump equivalent to maybe punch cards -> compiled languages, and that's it. Something like a 40% increase, but nowhere close to exponential.
They're simply bluffing, and you called them on it. Thanks for your service. Too many people think they can just bullshit and bluff their way along and need to be taken down a peg, or for repeat offenders, shunned and ostracized.
That's jump if you are a junior. It falls down hard for the seniors doing more complex stuff.
I'm also reminding that we tried whole "make it look like human language" with COBOL and it turned out that language wasn't a bottleneck, the ability of people to specify exactly what they want was the bottleneck. Once you have exact spec, even writing code on your own isn't all that hard but extracting that from stakeolders have always been the harder part of the programming.
Except punch cards are a data storage format, not a language. Some of the the earliest computers were programmed by plugboard ( https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Plugboard#Early_computers ) so that might be thought of as a precursor to machine language / assembly language.
And compiled and interpreted languages evolved alongside each other in the 1950s-1970s.
1. Punch cards -> Assembly languages
2. Assembly languages -> Compiled languages
3. Compiled languages -> Interpreted languages
4. Interpreted languages -> Agentic LLM prompting
I've tried the latest and greatest agentic CLI and toolings with the public SOTA models.
I think this is a productivity jump equivalent to maybe punch cards -> compiled languages, and that's it. Something like a 40% increase, but nowhere close to exponential.