I'm being hyperbolic about the paper airplanes, but I stand by my original point.
It is simultaneously true that Starship's capabilities are on track, and are at this moment just talk. I would bet that Starship will deliver within 10% of claimed specs, before 2030. But none of those have currently been proven.
Yes they've reflown a caught rocket, and they've soft landed in the ocean. I can do those things with a paper airplane.