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I'm pretty sure they were asking for a pinned date for definitions of "economically valuable" and "most (of total economic value)", specifically because, as previous comments noted, the definition and quantity of "economic value" vary over time. If AI hype is to be believed, and if we assume AGI has a slow takeoff, the economy will look very different in 2030, significantly shifting the goalposts for AGI relative to the same definition as of 2026.


Well if humans can do economically valuable mental work the AI can't then its not AGI, don't you think? An AGI could learn that new job too and replace the human, so as long as we still have economically valuable mental work that only humans can do then we haven't reached AGI.


This is a strange binary I don't understand. There are humans that can't do the work of some humans. Intelligence is, clearly, a spectrum. I don't see why a general intelligence would need to have capabilities far beyond a human, when just replacing somewhat lacking humans could upend large portions of the economy. Again, "it's not AGI" arguments will eventually require that some humans aren't considered intelligent, which is the point in time that we'll all be able to agree "ok, this is AGI".




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