> If you have the means to purchase your own debt, it's probably selling at very close to its face value.
If you have the means to purchase your own debt at its face value, its probably selling at very close to its face value.
But the market value of your debt should be approximately (the amount the pricing algorithms expect you to be able to pay) minus (the amount the pricing algorithms expect to be expended in extracting payment from you).
So, IOW, for the average debtor (assuming that the algorithms involved are correct on average), the market price of their debt should be significantly less than they are able to pay.
Let us speculate a bit further and perhaps coalesce multiple debtors, repackage their debt, create a debt-repurchase-vehicle that would purchase a tranche at a significantly lower cost than face value? Someone should really start securitizing that market from the other side!
Well, there was recently a negative real shock to debt value.
So the time sequence here is:
time 0 = Creditor A thinks that lending $10,000 to debtor B will create an asset worth $20,000
time 1 = Horrible things happen.
time 2 = Creditor A thinks that the asset thought to be worth $20,000 at time 0 is now worth only $100.
It is possible -- though perhaps not likely -- for it to be the case that the average value of all loans made at time 0 to be worth less than their face value at time 0, now that we are at time 2. That doesn't mean that consumer lending at time 2 would become impossible -- it means that lenders would set rates and choose debtors such that they think that new loans have values exceeding their costs.
If you have the means to purchase your own debt at its face value, its probably selling at very close to its face value.
But the market value of your debt should be approximately (the amount the pricing algorithms expect you to be able to pay) minus (the amount the pricing algorithms expect to be expended in extracting payment from you).
So, IOW, for the average debtor (assuming that the algorithms involved are correct on average), the market price of their debt should be significantly less than they are able to pay.