23 year old Indian developer here. The concept of 'moving out' of your parents home is baffling for most of us. I now live in a different city and I share a decent apartment with friends. I can afford to live alone in the apartment I now live in - the rent is 30% of my monthly income and the apartment is 15 minutes away from where I work - but living alone would be just awful. So I'm now paying 11% of my income for rent(electricity, water and a maid included) because I stay with friends. Eventually, most of us would want to move back to our hometowns if we can get a job with similar pay - and live with our parents. Not because it would be cheaper and mom would cook yummy food - but it is just the way it is. In our society, NOT living with your parents when you can is frowned upon. "These are people who raised you and know you well and care for you, why would you want to move out?" is how the society thinks. Also, in a way it is nice. You are NEVER alone. You ALWAYS have people waiting for you when you come back from work. 'Being alone' is seldom a reason for a depressed Indian - the family is always there.
However, compared to the west, we have little to no privacy. We are raised to not expect much privacy in the first place so we don't really miss it. Kids do NOT get a room of their own - never ever - they bunk with siblings. I was around 15 when I got a room of my 'own'. There's no pressure to move out once you grow up - parents would do their best to KEEP you home in fact. I would not have had to 'move out' if my college was not 200 km away. There's one big trade off with the whole set up though - no sex till you get married ;)
It's unreal how greatly the human experience can vary - I was born in the uk to itinerant parents (finance father), raised by a series of aupairs, and was sent to boarding school at six. Despite my parents being wealthy and having the space, I did not have a room at home from that point - when I went home for holidays, I would stay in the guest room, and when my brother was born, his room.
When I "left home" at 16 upon completing school and going to university, it couldn't have been less of an issue - as it was no different to going back to school.
I'm sure my family is an extreme example, but there's definitely a culture in the west, particularly among elites, where getting shot of your kids as soon as possible is highly desirable.
I have a perfectly ok relationship with each of them - see each once every few years, we're friendly and civil - but I've never really viewed them as parents - those would have been my aupairs and then the regimented institution of public school.
> You presume being loved and cherished involves having to live together.
I presume no such thing. Although any feelings a six year old has of feeling being loved and cherished are greatly enhanced by living together with their parent(s). That being said, what I do consider abandonment is being raised by au pairs and shipped off to boarding school by age six.
> I moved out quite early on myself, and my relationship with my parents is quite fine. (From the US for context)
Moving out of your own free will is quite different from being put into boarding school at age six.
Both of us were accidents - hence the seven year gap - kids had never really been part of the plan. To say we were unloved would be wrong - but we were inconvenient, and never allowed to forget it.
I'm glad to say that my dad seems to be getting it right the second time around, with wife 2.0, which underscores my upbringing being culturally rather than idiopathically driven - in the culture in which they lived, kids were there to convey status, and not much else.
Honestly, my family dynamic is all sorts of weird to most, but not unfamiliar to many who shared a parallel experience with me.
I wish people didn't feel obligated to have children if they know they don't want children or know they aren't up to doing it properly. It's not like accidents can't be "fixed".
This isn't directly aimed at you, I'm sure you are a wonderful person and are happy about this accident. I just feel children should not be had as status symbols or out of obligation.
> To say we were unloved would be wrong - but we were inconvenient, and never allowed to forget it.
Loved, but inconvenient. I'm having a hard time wrapping my mind around that one :) I guess that's cognitive dissonance.
> Also, in a way it is nice. You are NEVER alone. You ALWAYS have people waiting for you when you come back from work.
Glad it works for you, but that has got to be the third circle of my personal hell.
> 'Being alone' is seldom a reason for a depressed Indian - the family is always there.
That's nice. Some European countries are exactly the opposite. It's my hypothesis that this is the cause for many suicides, despite otherwise stellar living standards.
> Glad it works for you, but that has got to be the third circle of my personal hell.
Here, here. Not only do I not live with parents, friends or anyone else. The slowly but steadily losing side of a current raging personal debate in my head is that one day I should share my life with a significant other and perhaps have a family of my own. That idea is on the ropes but I'm not quite ready to close that door completely, but I'm real close to calling the fight and declaring a winner.
Further, I have been going longer between replies to messages from friends. If they need to find me, they will know where to go. We can only maintain X number of relationships. I would rather that list include people in my pro network and an inner circle of friends and family.
If you can handle being alone. I feel that's a superpower. Though there are many benefits to for sharing your life with an SO. I suppose it's a trade-off.
I can completely relate. Deciding to share a flat with my then girlfriend, now wife (and literally the first non-family member I shared a living space with outside of boarding school), was a much much bigger and more difficult decision for me than the decision to have kids or get married. And even 10+ years later I'd be lying if said that I don't sometime still miss living alone.
This seems like a huge cultural difference from the west. I personally can't imagine having lived with my parents into my 20s. The people I know who did are mostly far more dependent. I think this has a lot to do with our focus on individuality. I don't think I would have developed into the person I am today without having dealt with the hardships of making my own way in life as an independent person. I can absolutely see the financial and emotional benefits, but I would feel constantly stifled and unable to be my own person with that level of family intrusion in my life.
I think it does vary here in the US. I'm 30, also a developer, and my girlfriend and I have been living with my father for two years now.
I make about the same income he does... but in living together we can do so much better. There's always someone excited to make dinner every night.
We get to spend a lot of time together, and even though it's hard sometimes, and requires more emotional work, I think we've all grown from it. We buy a lot of groceries, and keep things clean. This summer I rebuilt some of our pantry space. My dad is really awesome though... He's super supportive, we smoke weed together, play LOL, work on projects around the house, go hunting, butcher our own animals, raise chickens.
My girlfriend and I have our own room, and we've been using the money saved to build a tiny house on a carhauler trailer. So we may not live with him forever, but I think all of our lives have been enriched a lot being together.
It's hard sometimes too, and some days I feel really angry with him. But some days I feel angry with my girlfriend too =) but also i still love them, and working through those things has only made me stronger
Heh.. I moved out when I was 16 (went to a high school and then followed by University) and have now lived alone for 22 years.
I can't even entertain the idea of not having my own privacy and my own place to do exactly what I want, when I want how I want.
I'm already getting anxious about the holidays and spending a few days with family. It's so exhausting, all that useless meaningless chatter etc. Makes one so weary.
Independence is prized in the West, America especially. Do you think John Wayne lived with his parents? Joking aside, even (especially?) very wealthy American families expect their children will basically do everything for themselves beyond a certain point, which is pretty arbitrary. Theres pressure from parents to be independent and achieve. It reflects poorly on you and them for you to live at home. I don't see this with some of my friends from other cultures who are unashamed to accept significant financial help from their parents and whose parents are unashamed to provide it.
Indian here, I have experienced life in India and a Western country. I have noticed Western young adults are more confident and assertive compared to Indian young adults and I think the reason is because Western kids have to be independent after 18 while Indian parents still play a significant role even after their kids have become adults.
Not necessarily. Especially in the big cities and among the wealthier or more educated (i.e. Indians you're likely to encounter on HN). I don't have statistics on hand but "love" marriages constitute a non-trivial percentage of marriages in those areas and social circles.
Even in arranged marriages in the big cities both parties usually have some veto power; parents don't (usually) just unilaterally say "You're marrying him/her and that's that" because that's not a happy start to any marriage. The guy or girl is shown pictures and basic info (height, education, job etc.) about potential candidates from a shortlist (which parents get from a marriage bureau) and they pick out a few they might be interested in. It's pretty much a stale joke by now that any unmarried Indian engineer working abroad is going to be bombarded with pictures of girls by his parents when he visits India.
The guy or girl might meet a few different potential partners before making a decision. It often runs like parental-supervised dating (think of the scene in The Godfather, with the grandmothers following a few paces behind Michael Corleone and the Sicilian woman he's courting). The couple can get to know each other reasonably well before the wedding if the engagement is a few months long.
In the rural areas (i.e. most of the country) traditional arranged marriages probably still dominate though. Even there, the winds of change are a-blowin'.
I have two girls, 24 and 18 years old. Both live at home right now. The 24 year old graduated from a selective private liberal arts college in 2015 and is working part time in a library. She does not qualify for health insurance or many other benefits. She does not make enough to live on her own.
She is also in graduate school online for a Master of Library Science (MLS). She wants to be a librarian and you pretty much need an MLS to become a librarian. Her part time income mostly goes just to pay for graduate school.
Her sister graduated high school 2016 and is taking a gap year as an AmeriCorp Vista employee working with center city schools on after school STEM programs from FIRST Robotics. She will go to college fall 2017 at Olin College of Engineering.
We suspect that the oldest will live with us for many years and her mom and I are fine with that. Expensive liberal arts degrees don't often pay well. I think that situation is going to catch up with liberal arts colleges very soon.
I like having her around. She does some chores and provides some company to us. But mostly she stays to herself studying or reading. If you had told me 10 years ago that she would be living with us after college and that we would be okay with that, I would have thought you crazy.
Her younger sister will get an engineering degree and we will only see here once and awhile after that. We are okay with that also, though we will miss her so much.
We mostly have younger friends so they are not yet at a place where their older children can be living at home.
I don't understand this situation with your daughter:
- Wanted to be a librarian
- Studied to be a librarian
- Graduated school to be a librarian
- Got a job as a librarian
- Doesn't make enough to live on her own and pay the cost of her education to be a librarian
And this isn't isolated to librarians, it's just a very instructive example. How is it we now have entire classes of jobs where the education they require for that job now puts you in such a degree of debt that you have to live off of your parents? We need librarians, no? We want to make sure we still have those? We have to be willing to pay for them.
It is a little more complicated and it is not as bad as it sounds for her.
Undergraduate degree in sociology and a minor in anthropology. BA in sociology is not very employable but is the most common undergraduate degree for librarians.
Once the affordable care act (ObamaCare) was made into law the library (local public library) started making most non-librarian jobs part time so they don't have to provide health insurance. So today she works circulation but is not a librarian.
She has no college debt because she got a free education. I work at the college and they pay full tuition for some staff and faculty children. Her education would not have been worth the greater than $200,000 retail cost of her degree. We are very lucky to have her college paid for.
She will end up paying for maybe 80% of her graduate degree herself and take student loans out for the last semester.
She puts money aside in her roth IRA. We are lucky she is cheap and sees the value in saving for retirement. I guess her mom and I did something right.
Her mom and I both work for colleges. Her mom works for a public four year school and I work for a private liberal arts college. We see in both that many graduates are not earning what they claim the graduates can earn. As I said in my original post that this will catch up in Liberal Arts (and really non-technical) degreed students.
Her younger sister will be going to an engineering school where the graduates are earning, on average, 25% more right out of school than other engineering schools. We are hopeful she can avoid automation job collapse and maybe participate in the automation side of this phenomenon. "If you can't beat them then join them."
Why do people even spend $200,000 on a degree if they're not rich? I went to community college for my associates degree in IT (about $5000 total), and then went to university for a bachelor's of science in IT (roughly $15,000 all in). Since you work at a university, what does that extra $180,000 buy? What's the sales pitch you'll give to students to get them to pay so much?
My Opinion Only: If you are going to an Ivy League school you are paying for the network / brand. If you are going to a lesser tier selective school you are paying for outcomes. But the outcomes, I believe, are starting to lag the price. At the school I work for about 65% of the students get some financial aid and we are need blind and meet 100% of demonstrated need. They meet need with grants (think scholarships) and a tiny amount of student debt. We do limit student loan debt to a small cap but many schools don't.
I'm not the best at selling the points because I went to a technical public university and got a BS and a MS in Chemistry and Environmental Engineers. Today I am a self taught CS guy.
I guess what I am saying is I don't fully buy into the Liberal Arts education selling points. My eldest doesn't buy into it as well. Of course the free education makes all the difference.
That makes sense. I was in an engineering department that was being vetted as part of due diligence and me going to a mid-tier state school on the opposite coast was actually raised as an issue. I doubt if I had Harvard or MIT this would've even been raised.
What are the selling points on a societal level. Why is the government, and by extention you and me, supporting liberal arts degrees that will do little to support economic growth? I've never head an argument made against this question.
> Why is the government, and by extention you and me, supporting liberal arts degrees that will do little to support economic growth?
As a taxpayer, I'm happy to support liberal arts even if it doesn't lead to economic growth. But you can't convince me that it should cost $200k to get a degree in it; that's just bananas. There's no way it costs that much to provide that service (even with a healthy profit margin on top). They must be subsidizing other costs with that money.
On a related note, I think the American model of charging per-credit-unit, regardless of what you study, is illogical (maybe it's not the same at all universities). It might make things easier for the bursar's office but it just doesn't compute that a credit hour of an aerospace engineering course (with all that expensive lab equipment) should cost the same as a credit hour of American poetry. Or that a 200-student introductory chemistry class costs the same as an advanced 20-student organic chemistry class.
Credit-hour was originally conceived for the purpose of quantifying appropriate faculty compensation. It was tacked on to the student side - particularly regarding tuition - as a somewhat lazy afterthought.
College usually meant everybody would study the same subjects. The specialization of degrees is a relatively new innovation by way of 19th century German institutions adapting to industrialization.
The biggest contributor to the cost of college rising are the regular cuts to the public schools' budgets, which in turn is caused because boomers vote politicians in who promise to lower taxes.
Our society is simply misguided in conflating education with employment. It is good for society as a whole to be educated, to understand history and science and literature, let alone practical skills such as cooking, filing taxes, and applying for a mortgage.
The problem is that we treat colleges as "skill mills," where we expect to go in, like raw materials into a machine, and emerge as an employable middle-class worker. Not all degrees or programs are suited for employment. Some colleges alleviate the problem somewhat by requiring paid co-ops as a part of a degree, but that is only one side of the problem.
Time was that the employer would teach the job skills on the job. There was an expectation of trust and loyalty on both sides which agreed that as long as the employee stuck with the employer, the employer would train and protect the employee.
This model has been successfully replicated time and time again across the world, from the guilds of the Middle Ages, to the salaryman culture of modern Japan.
I have this conversation frequently. And I am speaking about the USA since that is where I live.
The sad fact is that most people need a job to live in the world. And increasingly jobs are more scarce for many majors and not paying as well at they did historically. Hence more children are living beyond college with their parents. And then we have the automation threat to jobs...
I believe that there are many great life skills that are learned in college. Liberal Arts colleges think they have a lock on critical thinking skills and problem solving but I know a lot of people with technical degrees (chemistry, engineering,...) that have critical thinking and problem solving skills.
I think knowing history is also useful and a good thing. But as a parent I first and foremost want my kids to be able to live financially independently. It takes getting a job to do so. I haven't been able to reconcile that successfully in my meager brain with getting a college education regardless of employment.
Plus employee / employer trust is no longer a reality.
When employers stop treating degrees being a better worker then the public will change it's perception. Sadly neither of those will happen soon and I don't think universities will go out of this without a fight.
I mean, who the hell has 200k to spend "for fun" at a liberal arts college?
You would be surprised at how many private liberal arts schools are north of $40,000 / year and how many people pay full pay.
Even schools that are mid to low tier are charging a lot for a 4 year education. I suspect that many of the low tier and some mid tier schools will go out of business in the next 5 to ten years. Some schools have gone under already. Getting alumni to donate is getting harder for raising money and schools rely on not just the fees they charge but also donations[0].
This site will allow you to see private versus public schools and has estimates for fees and room and board (living expenses). Just page through a few pages and you will see that for private schools most schools add up to more than $30,000 / year and many more than $40,000. Many the schools you will not recognize their names. The cost of college is out-of-control.
Some private schools many are "need based". What that means is that if your effective family contribution (FASFA Calculation [1]) is less than the estimated cost of attendance [2,3,4] then the school will provide financial aid for the difference.
The financial aid may be in the form of tax credits, student debt, grants (like a scholarship), scholarships, exchange for student employment and more. Many aid packages are a mix. Schools that load up students with debt are doing a very bad service to the student, their families and society.
There are other things to consider besides the economy. The Arts have been a thing forever precisely because they are a good thing to have for a society, and not just for entertainment's sake but also to preserve our own history, to continue building the collective culture we take for granted, and on and on.
Not to mention that in general an educated populace is better at making decisions than an uneducated one, so even a moderately educated Starbucks barista contributes more to our society than an uneducated one, even if those contributions aren't financial.
As a past student, I can tell you that they definitely sell you a much lower number. They also get you to focus on "tuition" and not overall costs. Costs rises a lot due to books they try to force you to buy, food, and housing. Your first year is required to be on campus if you're from out of state. It's a crazy world out there.
While I agree in principle, when it comes to IT where you're learning more or less the same things wherever you go, when it comes to the Arts you're also usually paying top dollar both for networking opportunities, name recognition, and usually a fair number of very high profile professors. Where schools like DeVry and that kind of thing were charging huge prices for relatively identical products to a local tech college, the same can't be said for higher end Ivy League schools.
In my mind it's sort of like buying a Rolls Royce, there are plenty of other cars that can move you, but a Rolls is something relatively unique and very high quality. At least, that's how it goes in theory.
All suggestions are accepted. She so wants to be a librarian so am MLS is it. I have a friend that is getting a BS in Mechanical Engineering this year. Then next year a ME in Engineering Management. His plan is then to get an MBA.
My spouse is a librarian. There are cheap and expensive ways to acquire an MLS degree, depending on your financial means, and the pay varies substantially based on your location and the type of work you do. In the case here, their daughter is a grad student living at home and working part time to finance their education, which is perfectly reasonable for many people. Most public librarians earn around the average household income, so it's as viable a career as many other options, and it doesn't involve crazy hours or physically taxing work that can get difficult as one ages.
I don't understand why a librarian needs a master's degree? Is it just due to competition for a limited number of positions? Or are there skills gained from post graduate study that are essential to being a librarian?
I had one library manager admit to me that it was a bit of a guild system: really, the only place you use the proprietary bits of a library science degree is in a library. If they hired anybody who showed proficiency in Dewey Decimal System, processing books and conservation, who would ever get a Master's Degree in it ever again? and of course, these are not a significant portion of the equation anymore.
I don't understand that either but for the purposes of the question it isn't really needed. The library has decided these are the requirements yet is paying a salary to a worker that doesn't sustain those requirements, and I'm wondering why this is allowed.
FuzzyZeus you are correct. However the free market is dictating that an MLS is required. this may change in time. Many librarian jobs are going away with the advent of great search engines and robotic book stack pickers.
She got 4 years of experience in the college library doing digital library work (scanning, tagging, metadata, etc.). We are hopeful this will sustain her once she is a librarian for ten or more years. Part of this is we notice in our little world that non-digital librarians don't want to learn digital library skills. Their loss her gain.
Sorry I did not intend for my comments to be disparaging - if the market demands that level of education then it's necessary to enter that field. I understand that and can relate (my wife is a teacher who was required to obtain a master's degree in her specialty).
I just find it interesting that post graduate education is now required in many fields. I suspect it's partly due to demand for a limited number of positions but also due to shifts in expectations about on the job training and entry level positions. I also suspect that the evolution of hiring and professional HR staff has some role in it.
The more she gets involved in library community event planning and digital work, the better, I think. I have a librarian friend who has been running a 20s and 30s social events group (they do book discussions, game nights, movie nights, adult coloring nights, mug painting, etc) through her library and has been slowly taking up more and more of the libraries resources and become more prominent in the library as the program has been expanded.
You can search "library science masters curriculum" and see what courses they are taking. Librarians do a bunch of random stuff, from helping people with research projects to book preservation to running literacy programs.
It's not an "entire class of jobs" that caused the situation. The parent and/or student purposefully made the decision to get mired in dtudent loan debt to go to a "selective private college", knowing that the pay wouldn't be good.
I'm sorry, I can't defend being willingly going into a limited career path.
And this is not simply "humanities pay less". There are a lot of "different" professions that can evolve and become good (high-paying) positions. Even librarian studies can go to become an archivist, managing some private collection, etc.
But requiring an overpriced Master degree for a librarian position IS A SCAM. And getting yourself into a romanticized position inside a clique is not a good career movement.
People moving to LA and waiting tables until they get a movie part looks like a more viable career path than that
Why not just make the education less insanely expensive? STEM fields pay more but we need other jobs filled that are not STEM which is something we forget very regularly. We cannot just expect to have a permanent underclass of essential workers that we then turn around and deride for making shitty choices at every opportunity and basically hold in perpetual servitude.
Cost of tuition continually grows, most graduates are not falling into extremely lucrative salaries and average salaries are not keeping up with inflation. This is far from surprising but is very concerning.
Another avenue to pursue this discussion from is the % of income allocated to retirement savings. I have a sneaky suspicious most of my peers are saving less for retirement than the same demographic 10, 20, 30 years ago.
What happens in a few decades when all these adults who lived with their parents and hardly saved for retirement due to lower salaries and student loans are too old to work? It seems our tax dollars will be supporting them and this looks like a big problem. Curious what others think or if I am looking at this problem from the wrong perspective.
I think you're right to be concerned. Not being able to strike out on your own delays family formation, which leads to some attrition of people who never have children for financial reasons. This decreases the birthrate and then on top of the working generation supporting members within its own cohort, they also have to support an older generation of retirees with an ever rising dependency ratio. It's a negative feedback loop that countries like Japan, Germany, and Italy are stuck in.
Both the education and housing problems can be solved. Education can be automated and amateurized using technology, and more housing can be built. Both of these would do a lot to decrease youth debt loads. Medical price inflation is the tougher problem but is less pressing for young people. Eventually we will be old though and then it will hit like a ton of bricks for those unlucky enough to have not accumulated wealth.
"Among Gen Xers who have exceeded their parents’ income, those with college degrees are less likely to surpass their parents’ wealth, mostly due to student loan debt."
Gen X here, just turned 40. If you compare how I'm doing with how my parents (who were solidly middle class) were doing, it's not even close. At 40, they had multiple homes, were secure in their savings and retirement through generous pensions, and practically debt free. This was on school teachers' salaries!
Me? Student loan debt set me back years, crippling housing costs, and a crappy 401(k) that is probably worth around what I put into it due to multiple deep recessions during my prime working years. I can't even begin to imagine how bad it is for you under-30s!
This is not sustainable. All the value captured through productivity increases is being captured by shareholders and asset owners now rather than the working class.
My father was an employee of a series of banks. Nothing hugely special - earning the equivalent of about £100k today at that point - but the lifestyle they had by my age is astounding.
By 34 they owned a huge house in the country, several large holiday homes abroad, three cars, private education for the kids, first class flights (for them - I always flew alone to school, economy), motorbikes, you name it.
At the same age, I've done very well for myself compared to my cohort - I own a basement flat and a one bedroom cottage with no roof up a mountain, and have savings - this was from being a director and founder of a 50-ish person business with £MM turnover. I am incredibly concerned for the rest of this generation - if I feel insecure - how does someone renting on a zero-hour contract feel?!?
Part of the myriad resasons I quit my business to wander the world is that I'm done paying for the lavish lifestyles our ancestors enjoyed. Bluntly, it isn't fair, and I'm fed up, and I'm not taking it any more.
Be careful about generalizing from your own experience. Only 0.4% of Brits own a second house, let several large holiday homes. While there were certainly some years of rapidly increasing consumer welfare, most of their gains were in stuff we take for granted today, not luxuries.
It is quite fair when you take into account the change in the wealth of people all around the world, not only first world countries.
That's the issue with this thread: it's only first world perspective, about the time when the difference in income between countries around the globe was completely radical. With globalisation, it jist evens out.
If you put your money into an S&P 500 index fund in 2006 and reinvested dividends every distribution, you would have 6.89% annual return even taking into account recent recessions. In other words, if you had $10,000 in your 401(k) in 2006 and stopped adding any payroll to it, it would be worth over $19,000 now. If your 401(k) isn't in an index fund, it might be worth switching it into one rather than keeping it in a managed fund that charges higher expense ratios, but has worse returns.
Student loans are stupid unless taken for CS or Medicine. Otherwise the military or community college is just fine. Don't follow your passion unless you have a trustfund with >1mm and can pay for college.
It's not that hard, you put 23k/yr total in the roth IRA & Roth 401k in VFIAX. I do not work in the tech industry anymore and am still doing this, just stop eating out, live cheap.
Compound this over 40-45 years and you and I are multimillionares.
The military is fine until you're sent to Afghanistan and you're assigned to missions where you end up killing people. They're dead, and you're messed up for a long, long time. Happened to a couple friends of mine. One of them is de facto permanently disabled (though refuses help from the system itself), bounces from one job to the next, spends every waking moment high, because of the things he did over there.
As for the rest, asking someone to live cheap until they're 65, as a way to compensate for systemic malfunction, ehh...nope, let's get political and fix the system.
Many of my friends and some relatives joined the armed forces in the early 90s. The world seemed relatively safe then, trending upwards, and it seemed like a stable path to a middle class life.
Then the never-ending wars came. And, many of these people now have serious injuries and most have PTSD. They came back changed.
Now, I would never let a relative join the armed forces. Maybe it was a heroic thing to do at one point; I don't know. But, nowadays they're exploited and used carelessly for missions of dubious purpose.
1990 child here. To avoid a lengthy block of text I've deleted it all and decided on a short sum.
While I can only speak from my own experience, many of my friends and colleagues (EE) have left the country already. There are lots of good arguments on both sides and plenty of stories to each end. That said, it comes to this, the people in my generation with real skill are leaving. Not all of them, but enough that it's becoming noticeable. Maybe it's always been this way, maybe not, needless to say my sample size is low so draw conclusions at your own risk. That's just my two cents on it (in reference to what it is like for under-30's).
People I knew when I was younger later went on to get a good education and moved to the U.S.A. for work.
They still have student debt, but with practically no interest adjusted for inflation, and they didn't have to pay for university. They won't be spending their future worrying about their loans.
Grow up in a country with ~30% income tax and ~25% VAT, get universal healthcare and free education, then emigrate and take a job and pay (less) taxes in another country where working actually makes you money.
If you've been investing in index funds for the past 20 years, your 401k is certainly worth more than what you put in. Hell, even if you invested two lump sums right before the dot-com bust and the 07/08 recession, you're still net positive. The markets are currently at all-time highs.
> All the value captured through productivity increases is being captured by shareholders and asset owners now rather than the working class.
That's how living in a poor country feels. You still have good enough institutions and human capital to turn things around, but if you wait for too long, those will be gone.
Its called loan consolidation, take a set of loans that total say 70k and get talked into consolidation before you develop math skills and with deferments to deal with the regular boom bust cycle of layoffs over 20 years and that blows up into 400k easily, I've seen it first hand. Mine are paid off but if I had free education or skipped it, I'd be wealthy. Instead I'm broke but my loans are paid off. But it took an insane effort over 20 years to do it, that could have gone into starting a successful company instead of feeding the federal government for a service that costs $0 in other countries.
My dad didn't have my education or skills, but he got a job working for the federal government and was shielded from the up and down of the economy. His education was paid for, his home loan was 12k. But he had things too easy and now he has dementia lol.
Increasing automation is going to make unskilled labor a huge liability for countries. This is one reason I don't think some of the anti-immigrant position of many Americans (and Europeans) is unwarranted. Every country should want highly skilled labor to help improve their current account, but unskilled labor is huge future liability. There is already a huge surplus of domestic unskilled labor in developed countries. Allowing unskilled labor to increase through immigration is only going to exacerbate the problem.
That's only because of the welfare system. Otherwise there is no harm to others because a person with unskilled labour gets paid less over time (they're coming to America and Europe because the wages are better). And it is still probably better for that person than staying in their previous country.
There is work to do, though. Doctors, lawyers, engineering, etc. Lots of work for skilled labor. You can't just "turn on more machines" to placate unemployed unskilled labor.
Then many of the doctors/lawyers burdened with extreme student debt and unable to find work will put pressure on the insurance companies and ultimately charge lower prices. That's likely decades out though.
Don't be naive. Governments and corporations will just devise laws that you HAVE TO buy these goods. How do you muster the money is, and always will be, your problem.
They'll find a way to make money, don't you worry about that at all. They'll sooner make you owe money by the mere fact you're born than to give up.
through legislation, i.e. the recent push toward universal basic income.
personally i think in today's world in which 0.1% owns pretty much everything or at least controls ownership of everything, it's an unavoidable eventuality, but it's not going to be an easy process of getting there.
Sorry, but I am not sure I understand. Automation is in things like factories, back offices.. Those things are not entirely unskilled.
While you still have plenty of unskilled labour jobs in services/food/entertainment and they haven't yet invented robots to pick strawberries - which in the UK is something we use season immigrants for.
In a bizarre recent trend, people are starting to call anyone without college education 'unskilled'. A decent toolroom machinist required more training and did more mentally challenging work than many office workers with 'soft' college degrees.
These are indeed the kind of jobs that were lost to automation. Truly unskilled labor was replaced not by robots but by cheaper unskilled labor of other people.
There is potentially giant market for unskilled labour. From an economic perspective it makes no sense to have an engineer clean his own toilet, wash his own windows or cook her own dinner.
That does require us to overhaul the tax system so that income isn't taxed twice when it is paid directly from one person to another.
Immigrants, boomers and technology are convenient scapegoats for declining wealth. Technology is particularly favored in the media because it sounds vaguely plausible if you don't look too closely and being anti-technology makes you look ridiculous.
The 0.1% and their media naturally aren't going to blame themselves, or their trade agreements, or their lobbyists, or their wall street.
I wonder what the math is on the 0.1%'s money. If the 0.1% became significantly more generous with their money, how much would that actually benefit everyone else?
When that article laid out that it was talking about a survey I sat down and thought about what kind of distribution there likely is. My first guess was:
f(x) = 500 / (1-x)
where x is 0..1 (excl. 1), 0 being the poorest person and the one right before 1 the richest.
This yields 88.8% being owned by the richest 20% when using 1mio slices (the only reason I'm not trying to integrate symbolically is that I'm too lazy to try to revive my college math skills).
This is strikingly close to the 84% that the article claims is reality.
So, what's wrong with this then now?
The journalist writes that it "should" be different but doesn't provide for an explanation that says why the distribution should be following a different mathematical formula (and which).
Thanks for your reply. You're giving me some food for thought.
To be clear, I'm poor, i.e. I've failed both at wealth creation and ownership so far. I'll think about how (much) wealth creation can 'distort' the geometric formula.
> What happens in a few decades when all these adults who lived with their parents and hardly saved for retirement due to lower salaries and student loans are too old to work?
Simple - they die early... barring a massive electoral shift in governance priorities.
SSI and SNAP have really high velocity. For one thing, velocity is a good thing on its own. For another, they're both composed of everybody's favorite convenient social fiction - money. The both run around 5% of GDP. So say that doubles.
People not working is only actually a problem if the overall economy experiences something akin to opportunity loss from them not doing anything. The map is not the territory and the books are not the company.
I am listening to this book now called "The Dictator's Handbook". One of the arguments is that as more people become economically productive, the level of autocracy in a society decreases because it is in governments' interest to liberate productive people to generate wealth. So a society in which many people are unproductive is also a society more liable to become a dictatorship.
By the time the young adults of today are too old to work, they will have long since inherited their parent's house.
I would bet in 25 years when 10,000 baby boomers are dying every day, housing prices will be in free fall. So many of today's young adults will pay little, if anything, for the house they retire in.
Speaking as a younger person, I have and will have no interest in living in a rural suburb with no jobs. I'll have to sell, and when that time comes it won't be for much. The reverse white flight into cities is going to wreak havoc on this country.
Out of curiosity — how would you feel about a rural suburb if you could work remotely from it and make the same money that you could make in a big city? What other things would you need the rural suburb to provide if employment wasn't an issue?
For me, it would need to not be rural or a suburb to provide what I desire out of life. I want to be near things. There is a life to urban communities that does not exist in rural or suburban places (and I grew up in both) that I don't think I would want to live without. Being in places where it's a half-mile walk to things I want to do is an unmitigated good for me and there is nothing a suburb or rural area can do to replace that.
Remote work from home, where you are ensconced in your isolation box, is gross, too; as a consultant, I have a home office and I spend most of my time out of it.
(Mind, I have considered buying something in a rural area--but that's effectively a retreat, not a home. Homes are a by-and-large a pipe dream for people who are under 30 right now unless they want crushing commutes or nothingvilles.)
I have the opposite dream right now: I've spent almost my entire life in large cities and now that I'm in my thirties, finally have a career going, and am no longer obsessed with my sex life, I'm longing to move out of the city and somewhere a bit more suburban. I don't want kids or a wife — I just want space to be able to walk around half naked if I want to, sing at 4 in the morning if I feel like it, and indulge my own weird rhythms. I'm a software developer, and my company actually allows me to work remotely, so I'm seriously considering making the move. I seem to become more productive when I have more space, so even from a productivity standpoint the idea probably makes sense.
I actually love going on long walks, so the thought of walking a half hour to buy groceries if I don't buy a car seems ok.
I've spent the last decade or so in San Francisco, and none of the local scenes really attract me. There used to be some cool artists around, but a lot of them got priced out. Maybe some other city has a more thriving cultural life, but San Francisco's isn't doing anything for me. I just have to figure out where to move.
Well, I hope that we both manage to figure out a way of life that is good for us.
> I just want space to be able to walk around half naked if I want to, sing at 4 in the morning if I feel like it, and indulge my own weird rhythms.
What you're describing in terms of collapsibility, zero space, and cultural lifelessness is why I have avoided San Francisco like the plague, but San Francisco isn't like most urban areas--when asked why I refused a job with a startup out there I responded with something very similar to what you're saying here. =) I live in the Boston area; the city I live in is on the subway line, but isn't Boston proper.
I live on the top floor of an apartment building; my place is about 1200 square feet. I regularly sleep an off-kilter schedule. My neighbors like me, and me being up at 3AM doesn't seem to bother the downstairs neighbors seeing as how we hang out once a week or so.
Rural areas are fine if that's your thing, don't get me wrong. But there's a lot that you can't get in those areas (and I've spent plenty of time in them) at all.
Three weeks ago I moved from a suburb-ish type neighborhood (not much walkable) to a urban-ish type neighborhood (nice grocery store 10 minutes walk away, bars 2, 5, 15 minutes away, pet store one block away).
I too work from home, and the difference is so stark, I can't imagine ever living in a less dense neighborhood again. I haven't gotten in my car in a week. Not going back.
Speaking as someone in their early 30s, I heard the same story from many of my peers... peers who are now living in the suburbs with their spouse and 2.5 kids. Youth seeking out the cities for opportunities and entertainment is hardly a new phenomenon. But, it certainly seems that for many people either age or the desire to have a family makes city life a lot less appealing.
Thanks to reverse mortgages, I doubt there will be a massive housing transfer when the boomers die out. Boomers in general will outlive their retirement savings and all that will be left is their home equity. We'll see tons of bank-owned homes but today's young adults still won't be able to afford them.
They will probably be sold to rental management companies (of which there will be a whole bunch) or like liquid-property-investment startups like https://bricklane.com/
This will be a bigger problem in the near future. I keep seeing advertisements for property investments along the lines of the company you linked. Everyone thinks that housing is an investment and a way to make money. This has and will continue to drive up prices.
Why would it drive up rents? If people invest in properties to then let/rent them out, then there will be more homes on the rental market. The thing that will prevent this is if there are laws preventing new construction?
The thing that prevents new construction in many areas is laws designed to "preserve the character of the neighborhood". Homeowners/investors have an incentive to push for these laws to keep housing prices high. However, if they actually own a diversified asset that can grow with new construction by adding new properties, then that incentive is reduced.
I'm not a millennial, but it makes a heck of a lot of financial sense to live with family. I'm glad that with these shifts, the stigma is falling away. My immediate family has lived through rough times, with lots of "creative" living arrangements.
Of course, we should still train general life autonomy, and not promote being able-but-incapable shut-ins, but being able to venture into housing (or back out of it if things go really pear-shaped) should be done flexibly. The family unit as a reciprocating life cushion is a very positive thing to maintain. If you're on the receiving end of this cushion, make sure you're doing your part for your parents and/or extended household, too.
I don't care that economists and real estate investors bemoan the shrinking population of those able to buy houses. When times are financially tough, people need to pool together, not overextend themselves. Overall statistics about economic recovery also don't evenly represent all families.
I've heard that in (at least some regions of) Spain, it's perfectly common and acceptable to continue living with their parents well into adulthood.
I remember reading that José María Olazábal (one of the best professional golfers in the 90's, with millions of dollars in earnings) was still living with his parents into his early 40's (though to be fair, he was traveling for half the year on tour).
I often think that the "move out from home" pressure is a ploy by the real estate industry.
In India this is pretty common as well. It makes meals etc. much easier, provides instant babysitters (the grandparents), and so makes it more flexible for a husband/wife pair to work and still have some free time in the evening.
Privacy of course suffers, but then again I with multiple kids like a lot of US households have, there isn't that much privacy anyway.
> I often think that the "move out from home" pressure is a ploy by the real estate industry.
I think it's any commercial entity, right? When you move out of your parents' house, now you collectively have to pay/buy
- Extra rent
- Extra money for furnishing
- Probably more money for transport (could have carpooled with family or neighbors)
- More money for groceries (living on your own you will likely waste more groceries)
- Extra money for insurance (since it isn't a family pool)
etc.
So you're right, but possibly underestimating it. There is a lot of vested interest in convincing young people that living with their parents somehow makes them "losers" etc.
Clearly not. Any money you save by staying at your parent's home will be spent in other commercial entities. Even people who save eventually spend it. Conversely, all that cash going to landlords, grocers, insurance, etc is not being spent on something else.
In India, it is considered rather disrespectful to leave parents house once a person starts working. This is because, traditionally kids are supposed to take care of parents during their old age.
Culturally, many contemporary societies in Southern Europe -- including places like Italy's boot, Spain, and Greece -- place a strong emphasis on family and don't subscribe as much to the brand of fiercely self-reliant individualism manifested in America that evolved from the 'protestant work ethic'.
I'd say it's mostly because we're fucking poor. France isn't protestant either, yet they leave the home much earlier. Looking at the map, it seems to correlate pretty strongly with income: http://i.imgur.com/KIPcRbM.png
Socioeconomic analysis of Italy normally sees a distinction between the wealthier, more industrial Northern half (e.g. cities like Milan) and the poorer, more agricultural, mafia-troubled Southern half (e.g. Naples) normally including Sicily and Sardinia too. A rough line for the split could be about the latitude of Rome.
"Italy's boot" here corresponds to this Southern Italy.
It is an artifact of the VA mortgage and Levittown. Sears would write you a note on a Crafstman house, but it wasn't for 30 years. Of course you had to own the land.
Look at how Harry Truman lived. My uncles all lived at home until they moved, either for military service or because they got married. Age range roughly 1915 to around 1945 or so.
People lived in boarding houses if they didn't have a family.
My sister has a "boomerang" Millenial; the house is probably 3-4000 sq feet and the "kids suite" upstairs is probably 1200 sq ft. or so.
It's actually pretty common in Hispanic countries since you build larger family homes (My home back there had 7 bedrooms, but three generations live there -> grandma, mother, daughters)
The biggest "move out from home" push in the USA was mid-1900s government cold war propaganda, to live as a trendy "Nuclear family" with just parents & their kids.
While this was anti-socialist material, given its greater focus on individualism, it was rumored to also be intended to break up powerful family clans, as well as prevent future rise of the same.
Before these times, it was a lot more common for extended family to live together.
I'm not sure about that. Parents siphoning their children's (or children's spouses') "excess" income as a substitute for emergency and retirement savings seems pretty destructive. Rather than a self-perpetuating cycle of wealth transfer forward (i.e. paying for college), children start out less advantaged and, once they have earning power later in life, are expected to contribute it backwards. Of course, what you are expected to "reciprocate" here is not usually free housing as an adult, but your upbringing in general.
I'm very grateful that my parents have been fiscally responsible, and have taught me to do the same. While I will of course take care of them as medical situations arise (as they're currently doing with their parents), I very much appreciate that we're not in a tradition of tithing to our elders like so many other families seem to be. I can only hope that my eventual spouse would feel the same way. I certainly would not expect it from my children. But if my parents demanded it, then I'd have no choice but to demand it.
I consider reciprocation in a healthy relationship to be a voluntary give/give situation based on judgment, need, and care for one another; not a take/take parasitic one. s/family unit/family relationship/ in my prior post
Taking care of children and the elderly are of course one-sided cases, but when two generations are both adults (pre-elderly parents, adult children), and among siblings, a healthy relationship and taking care of each other goes a long way in times of struggle on otherwise equal footing.
Not sure how you got the impression that it's talking about parents sucking wealth out of their kids. I mean, living with parents is more or less the definition of parents helping their children, not the other way around.
The reciprocation comes later in life, when parents aren't able to be self sufficient anymore.
In many situations, it does make financial sense to live with family — however, sometimes one is simply happier and more productive when one has sufficient space that one more or less controls. Living in close proximity with others can be wonderful, but it can also take a toll. Even when those around you are nice people, it can take some energy to interact with them. I wonder how much productivity society loses when people who long to live alone are forced by circumstance to live together with others.
Completely agree. Now you make me wonder if the stigma around this kind of life style is being purposefully pushed by moneyed interest like home sellers etc...
It's not a stigma, it's societal expectations that ones offspring do better than their parents. Those expectations are being dashed, and heartedly. The millenials know we're being screwed, but the wall of people with massive equity/net worth tied up in their homes isn't budging. This will be a huge crisis going forward as we approach Australia levels of housing costs. Mark my words, in the next 20 years I believe will see a huge asset inflationary bubble that will be worse than the Great Recession.
The next 20 years will see large mortality in baby boomers, who bought their houses inexpensively and didn't move around much. That's going to return a lot of supply to the market and might drive prices down. At least outside the insane areas like San Francisco and Manhattan.
Not sure if Australia's current housing situation is analogous to America's one, but one of the primary motivators on our side of the pond is financial. Rents within 60km/35mi of the main Sydney CBD have crossed well over 50% of the average persons wage, at around $700/week. I currently live 45km from Sydney and pay $800/wk for a detached house primarily because I don't want to live in a 1 bedroom box in the city. Unfortunately, for that $800, I get next to no public transport and a local government that doesn't actually do anything useful. If I had the option I would gladly have stayed at home for a few years to start saving for a deposit on a house, which is no easy feat since the national average price is creeping closer to the $1m mark, and the average around major cities is already well over that mark.
Wow is rental really that bad nowadays? I left OZ around 2001, and at the time lived in the hills district, and vaguely remember paying AU$200+/week for a 2 br townhouse. It was an hour+ drive to the CBD, but thankfully my employer was also in the hills district, so I rarely had to make that drive.
It's certainly got a bit out of control. I live further out in Rouse Hill, and my 4 bed with garage house is $800/wk not including utilities. Townhouses are more reasonable, but compared to a house still insane. 2 bed apartment thing in a new complex down the road starts at $650/wk.
I'd certainly like to believe I'm above the 50th percentile of incomes for my age, and I'm struggling to bring the costs of living to under 75-80% of my take home income. Given many young people aren't as fortunate as even I am I feel like there's a very large portion of the coming generation for whom owning a home will never be a reality.
Correct. I can't find the exact news article I read it, though this one shows the trend [0]. The most recent HILDA report shows that over 50% of < 30s in Aus will never own a home
Even if you artificially lower apartment rent, there would still be a lack of housing in cities. It would actually make the problem worse because more people could afford to live in cities, and less people would want to build new units.
Either young people need to be okay not living in cities, or governments need to encourage more housing to be built in cities. But, instead, young people want urban living and municipalities are only increasing restrictions on building new units. Obviously in this senario prices will go up, it's basic supply and demand.
This entirely. If you want competitive wages and non-backwards social groups you go to cities. I suspect there will be enclaves out in the suburbs soon as people make their money and switch mid life to more rural living where it's slower and more sustainable
Yep. Many of the people I went to school with are now back living in the town we grew up in because there are jobs available. Given th choice most of them would stay where they are rather than move to a city.
The suburbs are as expensive, or even more expensive than the city. I've honestly considered moving closer to my job in the suburbs, but for the same rent I get a far less desirable neighborhood (i.e. no close by bars, bad transit, nosey neighbors, mostly generic chain stores etc).
Houses have to go somewhere. Or should people just be stuck spending hours commuting?
Artificially lowered apartment rent seems obviously flawed but how about just not artificially lowering supply? Surely these high prices should have a lot of developers chomping at the bit to turn low density accommodation in to high density accommodation.
Indeed, and I feel like not living near a city is the only realistic option. My hope is the eventual completion of the western metro line to Windsor might allow my commute to drop below an hour each way. At the moment the M2 motorway costs me about 15 hours of my life every week, which I'd really love to spend sleeping in when I'm exhausted, or writing, or playing with some new code, or really anything that doesn't involve sitting on a bus. Sadly even out of the city it's almost unaffordable, which is a shame.
I remember parking at e.g. Epping and catching the train to town. Is that not an option for you? You'd be able to catch some ZZZs on the train for part of that journey, rather than having to drive all the way.
I've tried it a few times. The closest station to here is Quakers Hill, which is roughly the same time on the train as I spend on the bus, with the added drive before hand. The comfort is much better but actually leaving my car there is a scary prospect.
I think you could solve the problem by rightous forbidding cars and non public transport in and around the city and replace them all with taxis,trains and underground trains,busses and shared cars. So you can travel within 30 to 45 minutes to the city even when you live 150 km away.
Too many landlords would lead to lower rents, not higher. The problem is caused more by the overly centralized structure of our cities (meaning a large proportion of jobs require you to commute to the CBD every day) combined with a cultural resistance to high-density living (meaning an undersupply of housing near to the CBD).
I am 26 and just graduated college 3 years behind my high school class. I have accepted a software engineering job, but will be living at home commuting 3 hours per day until I can save up enough for an emergency fund to be able to move out and afford a 12 month lease in case I get fired. I'm planning on getting my own place in the beginning of Q2, 2017. Unfortunately, I'm a little behind salary wise.
I think you're doing the right thing. The first step towards financial independence is building a reasonable emergency fund. The peace of mind is liberating.
3 hours a day is a huge amount of time and commute time is one of the biggest, easily changeable factors of happiness.
Nobody in a software engineering job should have to live with parents for financial reasons. I appreciate OP's dedication, but they should be able to save up an emergency fund pretty quickly and move into their own (small) apartment.
3 hours per day is going to kill me. I did it over the summer for an internship, and just plan to save for 3 months until I have a solid base to add to my savings account. I'm targeting a solid 9-10 months of emergency fund. If I moved out right now, I could afford the first and last month of rent, but would not have that much left in my bank account. And for the record, a reason I want to move out is so I can start to build my own life with a woman in my life. I can't do this at my parents place. I love my parents, but at 26 it is time for me to be on my own.
I feel like it's maybe doable if you use that 4 hours for your "entertainment" time-budget for the day. Listen to audiobooks or podcasts. Then don't watch TV or Netflix or whatever when you actually are home.
That said, this is purely speculation. I have a 10 minute commute by subway+walking.
Depends on the mode of transport too. At my last job I had a 1 hour commute but it was via public transport. I sat down and worked on my personal projects during that time, now my commute is a lot shorter and I'm getting a lot less done.
If your parents are willing to let you live with them, why not just save the cost of exiting your lease (mine is 1 month's rent) and U-Hauling your stuff back home?
Or would you not be able to go back once you left?
My parents tell me I can stay at home forever. I'm not sure about this type of contract. Is it common to have a clause that allows you to "exit the lease"? If so, how would I go forward with asking the people about this without seeming high risk?
The lease should specify a fee, large enough to deter you from walking away for a slightly better deal, but (generally) smaller than paying rent for the remaining months. Giving the required notice (mine is 30 days) and paying the fee lets you terminate the lease early while still fulfilling your legal obligations.
It's there primarily for people who need to move because of work, and usually the employer who is relocating them would reimburse it. So, you could probably ask something like, "what if I get transferred to a different office before 12 months is up?"
That will signal some risk that the landlord will have to find a new tenant. My landlord is a REIT, and I live in a large complex with 2 full-time leasing agents onsite, so finding new tenants is not a huge burden for them - they're fine with high turnover. A mom-and-pop landlord might be skittish about that possibility. But it is still better than "what if I can't pay rent because I am unemployed?" Definitely don't ask that :).
> If so, how would I go forward with asking the people about this without seeming high risk?
to a business owner/landlord, asking how much it costs to exit the lease does not mark you as high risk. it just means you know what you're talking about, and they are free to set that value to whatever they want in the contract.
As a foreigner living in the U.S., I have to admit this obsession with leaving your parents house kinda baffles me.
I'm from Brazil, and despite nearing my thirties, back home the majority of my friends live with their parents and it is hardly seen as a big deal. I think a big driver of this shift is the fact that in the U.S. it is extremely common for one to leave for college, whereas in Brazil literally 100% of my friends who went to school in the country resided with their parents while they were in school.
One of the things that most attract me about the U.S. is the fact that opportunity and mobility is so rampant, and you have people crossing the country for jobs and a different life. That is a superb thing. But what I never, ever understood is seeing young friends of mine who get jobs in their hometowns but who stubbornly "move out" even if they are barely making enough to survive. In terms of lifetime earnings, those few thousand dollars a month that go to a stranger for rent are so, so valuable.
Another point this statistic does not take into account is that the current generation of "parents" are also on average better off than their parents were. The prospect of "living with the parents" would have seemed worse for my father than it did for me. I get that there are economic forces "forcing" kids to stay home, but I'm sure there is also a genuine shift in preference as well.
Speaking for myself, growing up in the US I couldn't wait to move out of my parents' house and live on my own. My friends were the same way. The reasons having my own place was appealing to me really boil down to independence.
Being able to choose where I live, being able to decide my own priorities, not dealing with them being around and pestering me, having peace and quiet when I want it and being able to blast my music that they don't like without being asked to turn it down. Being able to have my friends over. Being able to have girls over. Being able to move in with a girlfriend (which is what I did when I moved out.)
I love my parents but I cannot live with them. They annoy me within a few hours of being around them. We don't like the same things. We don't like the same music, the same TV shows, we don't hold similar politics, they are religious and I am an atheist. We just aren't compatible.
Why is liking the same TV shows a precondition to living with them? I think the real underlying problem is American's don't seem big on the "live and let live" philosophy on the micro level. Which is strange because there is so much more diversity among larger groups.
The level of independence of children after they get out of primary school is largely a function of wealth and cost of living (for university). In places like Brazil, I would expect more people to live at home with their parents. In the US now, as compared to the 70's, say, it's also true. In the 70's, when you graduated from HS, it was very rare for kids to stay at home. There were usually enough opportunities for them to get jobs and be independent.
For me, university was cheap enough that I was able to work and pay my own tuition. My parents helped a little with housing in the first 2-3 years, but everything else I provided. Almost everyone I knew back then was in the same boat.
Unless you're talking an affluent area, where kids can come out of university with no debt and very useful degrees, what I experienced in the 70's is much rarer now.
So, Brazil and the US, with the middle class both hit pretty hard in the recent decade, is entering a different phase.
I think one of the other reasons is that parents this day and age are more liberal minded than previous generations.
I remember talking to my mom and dad about this. When they left the nest, their parents held very strict conservative view, and were often very opinionated in how their sons and daughters should conduct their lives.
Nowadays there's not much to rebel against, especially among the educated class.
This seems like a pretty big deal, parents and kids listening to a lot of the same music, watching the same kind of television/series. Its interesting, many parents actually expect their kids to rebel nowadays, because they themselves did, but this expectation is of course counter to the whole idea of rebelling.
Rising rents and harder to get home loans do sound like the primary cause.
That being said, I also believe there is not quite the same urgency to leave home for current young adults. Just from personal observation they don't necessarily see increasing their expenses just to be more independent as worthwhile. Same goes with getting a driver license and a car.
I don't think it's necessarily being lazy, I think they might rightly see that building up all these expenses just to be independent is a bit overkill.
Mix this with people in general getting married later and I find it quite natural that more people are living at home.
I sort of agree with you, but I don't think you completely understand the problem. Yes, it doesn't really "matter" if people are living with their parents or on their own. The problem is what this shift signals.
People are not much different than they were 50 years ago. If it took just as much resources to live on your own 50 years ago as today, there would "not be the same urgency to leave home." Of course no one wants to leave home if it's going to cost them 40% of their take home pay, but if it only costs them 10-20% of their pay, I really doubt you will see a ton of millenials that don't care about living at home.
This shift in housing signals a dearth of resources available to the current generation. Do we think that's a good thing? A bad thing? Or is it completely neutral? Does it have implications elsewhere for our economy? These are the things that are actually important.
The broad, rapid American growth has a lot to do with the fact that Europe and the Far East was in complete ruins after WWII and the US was in the immediate position to rebuild Europe.
Remember, right before the mid century prosperity, we were in a massive depression caused by the "Roaring 20s" which was fueled by another smoldering Europe.
The time period before WWI; the late 1800s and early 1900s were pretty bleak. Before that, the North was fairly prosperous but the South was under reconstruction, so that region was pretty bleak as well.
Of course, there is plenty of wealth to go around today, it's just concentrated due to a war on the middle class by industry, aided by goverment, dating back to at least Reagan.
The time period from 1890 to 1929 experienced steady growth in the U.S. [1]
The Roaring 20s was not the cause of the Great Depression. The Great Depression was caused by a variety of factors, primarily unsustainable debt issuance and overproduction in the agricultural sector. Other important factors include crushing wartime debts owed by European nations to American creditors (vastly harming exports), a liquidity crunch and massive deflation due to adherence to the gold standard, and uncertainty by Capital resulting in a lack of expansion.[2]
It's a common misconception that the stock speculation bought on leverage was the cause of the depression. Indeed, margin calls caused automatic stock sales to cover the leverage, forcing stock prices down.
However, the cascade of bank failures occurred due to due to defaulting agricultural loans. The loans' refinancing requests were suddenly refused when European powers pulled currency out of U.S. banks in order to pay their war debts and reparations.
The stock market crash was not the cause of the depression; just one of many larger factors that precipitated it.
I didn't distinguish between borrowing for stocks and borrowing for agriculture. I see both as elements of the unsustainable debt buildup. I view the stock market crash as a symptom of the unsustainable debt, not as a cause.
Let me clarify. The primary debt issuance was debt taken by people doing stock market speculation. The joke at the time was that if your shoe shine boy was asking you about stocks, something weird is about to happen.
The agriultural overproduction was a result of the drop in market prices for goods, so the farmers ramped up production to make up for it, ignoring good farming practices, notably proper tilling and crop / land rotation which resulted in the deterioration of the top soil (dust bowl).
All of this happened in the Roaring 20s.
As far as before the 20s, you had WWI and the industry kings manipulating the markets. They were doing fine, but the people working under them weren't. This was the era of industrialization, child labor and The Jungle. It was wonderful if you were an industry titan, but bleak for most everyone else.
Anyway, my point being, the great prosperity we experienced after WWII was more of an anomaly that anything else. I believe it was sustainable through smart regulation and government investment among other things, but interests have been working hard to bring us back to where we were before.
The stock market in the 1920s held far less importance then than it does today. At that time, very few people had access to the stock market. The shoe shine boy anecdote is mythology.
It is true that margin calls cascaded to obliterate billions of dollars of value, but the investors impacted were mostly trading firms, banks, and capitalists. Joe sixpack had no exposure to it since there was no such thing as a market-backed pension fund (who even had pensions back then?) and 401(k).
Corporate earnings did not drop significantly during and months after the crash. Production and consumption were not affected.
The primary reason for bank failures in the following year were from agricultural defaults. The small, regional banks were the first to fall, not the big city banks.
I don't contest any of your points except "The roaring 20s caused the Great Depression." The economic growth in the 1920s was steady and mostly not speculative. The stock market was speculative but Finance was a much smaller part of the economy at that time. An avalanche of other factors were the causes.
I have no firm opinion regarding post-WW2 growth as anomalous. I think that the idea has merit. The scope of my argument is limited to 1890-1933.
It wasnt anomalous, we were pretty much the only country not bombed to pieces and had an infrastructure to build upon while most countries were simply rebuilding.
And the cause of rising rents and harder to get loans is a rise in home prices. Yet when we hear news reports about rising housing costs, we say that the housing market is "recovering" as though it's somehow a good thing.
Perhaps we should rethink our nationwide policies of raising housing costs.
We have policies that favor home owners because, 1) older people are more likely to own homes and they vote at higher rates, and 2) politicians love property tax revenue. If you don't vote and you don't fill their coffers, you're invisible to politicians.
And there is a generation of people ready with hammers to knock down that wall of equity so they can afford to live. Right now we're in the negotiating phase. Wait for the right politician.
The occupy movement should have occupied all vacant buildings, a lot of which were effectively owned by banks, and demanded the return of squatters rights.
In the video, they mention that the job growth isn't evenly distributed; it's really only happening on the coastal business hot spots, where real estate was already insane, so that portion of the recovery doesn't help at all with housing.
Consequently, is the implication that the rest of the country isn't recovering nearly as well as the average is reporting? Housing might not be shooting up in the rest of the country, but wages and job opportunities are not great, either.
Young Canadian here. Personally, it's just hard to find work, and there's no cheaper place than mom's house. My girlfriend lives with her parents. She has a job, but her family is having a hard time finding work themselves.
I'm doing it because it's free, and it's a chance to find a job. If I had a steady job, I'd be out in no time. But goings are tough.
I'm saying job a lot. Live in rural Canada and you'll find that job is the magic word. Lots of people do contracting work up here, for welding and scaffolding and that sort of thing. Lots of people have known the experience of working for a month and never seeing the paycheck as the company goes under.
There's a lot of fuss about the Cite C dam in British Columbia. I think it will be built, no matter the problems, because it means work for the people building it, and those people are people I know. Jobs jobs jobs.
I know this isn't about Canada, and I didn't even read the paywalled article, but I think we're staying home because the economy sucks and there are no jobs.
I've lived at home and I've lived on my own and I'd rather live at home even if the cost was the same. Going home to an empty apartment or roommates that don't care about you is lonely af.
The most natural state is to remain with your family until you form your own family. I have never understood the stigma attached to adult children living at home.
Admittedly, this might very well be because I have lived in multiple cultures, most of which don't have this antagonistic "kick them out of the house" relationship between parents and adult kids.
The other side of that story is that, yes, if an adult kid has opportunities that might take the kid away from the family home it could make total sense to move out. One example is getting into a really good university on the other side of the country.
I personally believe that the family connection is crucially important and it must remain as intact as possible until the adult children are ready to form their own families. There is no better incubator for future good people than a good family life.
> personally believe that the family connection is crucially important and it must remain as intact as possible until the adult children are ready to form their own families. There is no better incubator for future good people than a good family life.
I think there's something to be said for living on your own, cooking your own meals, doing your own laundry and housework, paying your own living expenses, and managing your own finances, before taking the plunge into a situation where it's non-optional. (E.g. a marriage.)
The things you mention are incompatible with adult children staying at home longer.
The secret is to have some of those things be part of normal life from when they are little. Bring the laundry to the washing machine. Help fold it. Help cook Help clean, etc. Not that difficult.
The financial side can be introduced initially through games and later on in different ways.
It just takes forethought and consistency. And it doesn't have to be punishment but rather part of normal life.
I'm curious... why is this such a bad thing? As a society (an American society, as this isn't true in many other places) we place a rather negative stigma on a person who doesn't leave home at the age of majority (usually 18).
This is a norm that I think we should do away with. And by that, I mean we should stop making turning that age the time that we flip the switch and the kids move out.
What I would suggest in its place... encourage them to go when they're ready. This places more responsibility on the parents in assisting with all the types of preparation that make one ready for leaving home.
There's a LOT more to this conversation, but I figure this is a good starter. :)
Well it is an economic thing. It means that jobs and wages don't support independent living. It means that young people don't (or can't) migrate for jobs. It may mean that there aren't enough jobs or they are otherwise unqualified.
From a corporate economic standpoint there is a lot to be gained by keeping that stigma. Moving out and starting your own household means buying a lot of stuff. You can't really target the opposite in any meaningful way that gives revenue. And a whole lot of our norms and stigmas are somehow rooted in popular culture and the institutions that benefit from set values.
First of all, housing in America is a dual income trap. So unless you are comfortable with roommates, have a significant other, or can attain a lucrative salary, you have limited options. Second, renting is for chumps; as you will simply throw money away to the tune of a monthly mortgage payment.
Therefore, you should stay where you are (if possible) and save until that down payment can make a worthwhile home affordable with only a single income. It is the only fiscally responsible choice.
Renting also equals freedom. YES you may throw away money in the light of the ability to sell a property at equal or higher price than you payed. BUT you may also end up losing a lot of money or being bound to a property if market changes and prices drop. Renting is a transparent way of knowing the cost of living where you do. In a liquid somewhat stable housing market you probably are better off buying - but just to say that saying renting is for chumps is bit of a simplification in my opinion.
P.S. I know the above probably is a bit of topic as even having the ability to choose somewhat implies that you aren't totally struggling financially.
I've got two kids in high school. Among all of the ways to support them after college if necessary, having them live at home may be the most economical. Fortunately, they're pleasant to hang around with.
The nuclear family concept was always odd to me anyway.
Myself, my wife, and my daughter are building a house with my parents right now. If you can find a good job in the same city, I have trouble understanding why someone wouldn't want to live together.
The economies of scale and the benefits of having extra helpers around with our daughter (and 2nd one on the way!), more than outweigh any downsides to us. The psychological impacts to our children of having our grandparents around as positive continual influences seem pretty valuable to us?
It might surprise people but there is no stigma around adults living with their parents in other places. As if giving a stranger $1.5k+ every month is an indicator of adulthood. Save that money and put it into a retirement or savings account. Unless your job or life situation truly demands having your own space I see no reason to move out.
What I would like to see happen is for young people to stay with their aging parents even after becoming financially settled and even after marriage.
The whole concept of 'moving out' is barbaric to say the least. Old folks who can't fend for themselves in many situations and their old bodies fail them in most basic of tasks such as cleaning house and cooking are then simply shoved into 'old folks house' till they breathe their last.
Best if this generation can break this sh!tty concept about 'moving out' - after all, they themselves would become old one day...
I often see that point of view when I discuss with friends in Asia (where living with the parents is much more prevalent). Let me offer an anecdotical counter point. I have a grandmother, she's getting old (85 years old) and things are much harder than they used to be, she no longer can easily go shopping by herself or clean the house.
We've asked her multiple times if she wanted to live with us or our aunt, every time she's refused. She wants to stay independent and instead hired a helper who comes everyday for a few hours and helps her with the basic tasks.
We often come to visit her but she doesn't want us to stay too long or too often for the same reason. She values her independence. So, yes I see the point about living with aging parents but it's also good not to deny the independence of those same aging parents.
The Asian model of staying at home with the parents does have a lot of tradeoffs too. Usually the wife needs to move in with her husband's parents and this is not easy at all for the wife. I've seen a few divorces that were due to conflicts with the in laws (which are much worse when you actually have to live with them). I also have a friend whose parents had a big house and lived together with all their sons and the parents decided to sell that house, buy separate houses for each of their sons and live alone because it was just too much headache for them.
The plural of anecdote is not data but just to give my own experience here; my youngest brother is of this age group and still lives with my parents for no reason other than laziness. He just has no ambition or interest in getting a steady job and moving out to his own place. No interest in finding a romantic partner. He just sits at home and plays video games as he has for his entire life. He has friends doing the same thing.
I don't know if this is a real trend or just something I'm seeing but someone should probably study this phenomenon.
(1) and (2) make sense to me. They are pretty much the reason why I decided to move out.
(3) is irrelevant. Nobody should intentionally hemorrhage themselves financially just to get the opportunity to take dates home without being hassled. Chances are your date probably lives at home too anyway.
(4) is uncalled for and completely irrelevant. I game, I watch TV, have a healthy social life and I take care of business.
(5) is a very likely outcome as well. Moved out for this reason as well. Could feel the malaise / indifference coming on.
I'm in the minority here of my generation but I'm 19 and I really would like to get out of my house. Due to some complications with my family it's just my mom and I now and we'll be moving into an apartment soon. I'd like to get out so I can learn about machining and electronics without being told to "stop bringing garbage into my house".
Unfortuantly I 1) don't have enough time for a full time job since I'm wasting away my better years and credit in college, and 2) none of my friends want to move out or will be allowed to move out by their parents.
Finding a room mate will be tough. I'm going to try... but it'll still be tough. This is extra worse because of how high the rent is here in NJ (even in Paterson, Franklin Lakes, and Newerk where I go to school).
I'm going to say a simple X Y plot probably oversimplifies the picture.
1) Parents have been having kids later in life. How many of these are because the child (read: adult offspring) is home to help care of an ill or older parent?
2) As the divorce rate increases homes that were was the right size for a traditional family are now too big for one parent or the other on their own. The kids move back because it's practical for all.
3) Related to 2, the housing market has sucked. Selling for many hasn't been an option. This "enables" yas to stay home longer.
The point is, this isn't a YA issue per se. There are plenty of broader social changes that a helping to redefine the American family unit.
Disclaimer: this is a somewhat personal-nuanced and anecdotal essay, so skip it if you prefer colder facts. You've been warned. ;)
Eastern European (Bulgarian) 36-year old programmer here, still living in Sofia (the capital).
We don't miss communism and socialism. At all. A good chunk of us around here are competitive and want to demonstrate skills for better money. There are frauds and freeloaders but hell, is there a community where there isn't?
I've witnessed the fall of our regime (1989) when I was 9. Later on the fall of the USSR followed. I didn't quite appreciate these events back then but the effect on the standard of living on the other hand was VERY visible.
It has been a very gradual process, but our country is bleeding brains, skills and money -- badly, and all the time. Quite frankly I don't think that the EU countries are so much better; what good is a triple salary if your rent and bills are triple the amount as well? The only real benefit I guess is to get a citizenship several years down the line and not be afraid that yet another shady government will appropriate all retirement funds and you'll be left with peanuts when you eventually grow old.
My mother lives with me and my girlfriend. Her pension is 60 euros. You read that correctly, it's not a typo. If it wasn't for me, she'd be yet another old woman with eyes full of tears, struggling not to die of cold on the street, and to have a few mouthfuls of bread a day. (Father died a long time ago, back in 2002)
We at Eastern Europe are diverse people. We don't frown upon at either situation -- living with or without parents, but for many people living in a bigger flat/house with the family is simply more convenient (my mother's cooking is absolutely fantastic and is easily worth €30 a meal, I am pretty sure of it!) and makes much more sense financially. It is what it is, we can't do much about it.
Long story short: I am now in ~ €20,000 debt and the thought of getting a mortgage is making me grind my teeth. As other posters said, we're not even close! My mother and father were working governmental jobs and they had an apartment fully paid for when they were at their ages of 40-42. Had two cars. And that was a backwater communistic/socialistic country, a mere satelite of the USSR. I can't imagine how much better many others had it really.
(The fact that I should probably look for a higher paid job since I am in demand is an irony that doesn't escape me, but that's a personal struggle interwoven with many other factors which I won't touch upon here.)
The article has struck many nerves in me. It's true not only in the USA.
For me, the main reason I don't have a house is because I wouldn't have anyone to share it with; finding a partner outside of college while being employed in a field comprised of 97% men is impossible.
"finding a partner outside of college while being employed in a field comprised of 97% men is impossible."
What? How is that related? I (and most of readers here, I presume) also work in the same field, but I've never dated a girl who I've had any business with or who could write a single line of code. Just go out more often, get some hobbies, travel -- work is not your whole life. Unless you work in China sweatshop 16h/d, 6d/w work-life balance is achievable, it's mostly a mindset.
I'm a millennial - Living with my parents after college allowed me to save a boat load of money which I then invested and now I'm in a comfortable place finally - even looking at early retirement.
This article is part of a broader spotlight casted upon declining economic opportunities. Raj Chetty and company released a great deal of research about this, which journalists have been slowly summarizing for the public: http://www.equality-of-opportunity.org/
ZIRP is the reason. Once we get away from ZIRP, interest rate sensitive assets will go down in price, and people will be able to afford housing. They may not be able to afford bread (inflation), but housing will be cheaper.
The "web" link beneath the submission title will bring you to a search page with a link to the actual article, which should get you around the paywall.
Now thanks to the other guy I can read the article. The graph makes it look like were only slightly higher then that the early 1900s where it was consistently higher then the last 70 years and also steady.
americans of generations X and Y got raped out of their money by the looter economy comprised of high-interest big-sum debt, decreasing wages, increasing rent, increasing cost of living, and few jobs. this story gets rehashed every few months (starting from around 2010) as though it's new. it's not new that capitalism has scarred the young.
it took me a while to leave my parents after college-- and it was a miserable period that couldn't have elapsed quickly enough. suffice it to say that young americans stay at home due to not being able to afford any alternatives. even living with roommates is expensive if you're in an area that has jobs-- and most areas do not have any jobs, or any well paying jobs.
we can't save money to move out, nor buy a house, nor save for retirement, etc, etc. it's been this way for nearly ten years. things have actually gotten worse economically, and we're now overdue for another recession. the "main street" economy is completely divorced from any successes of the "wall st" or finance center economy, yet it suffers their failures even more violently.
millenials can't afford to take care of their dying boomer parents... it seems as though they'll grow even poorer while trying, however. millenials can also expect no real return from their investment, as their parents have themselves been hollowed out of wealth by the process of aging.
here is a radical statement: seizing the means of production or forcing the downward redistribution of capital is now justified and overdue... the time wasted waiting for a handout from the business owners or the government would be better spent organizing the young to eat the rich.
However, compared to the west, we have little to no privacy. We are raised to not expect much privacy in the first place so we don't really miss it. Kids do NOT get a room of their own - never ever - they bunk with siblings. I was around 15 when I got a room of my 'own'. There's no pressure to move out once you grow up - parents would do their best to KEEP you home in fact. I would not have had to 'move out' if my college was not 200 km away. There's one big trade off with the whole set up though - no sex till you get married ;)